It's been a while since I wrote a post in this series. And these days it's more like "58 Years of Science" but I an going to continue to stick with the original theme anyhow. This is the tenth post in the series. You can find an index to all the posts in the series at http://sigma5.blogspot.com/2017/04/50-years-of-science-links.html. I update that post every time I add a new entry to the series.
I take Isaac Asimov's book "The Intelligent Man's Guide to the Physical Sciences" as my baseline for the state of science as it was when he wrote the book (1959 - 60). In these posts I am reviewing what he reported and what's changed since. For this post I am starting with the chapter Asimov titled "The Origin of Air". I will then move on to the next section called "The Elements" and discuss the chapter he called "The Periodic Table".
There is nothing static about the composition of air if we look across the entire history of the Earth. There are processes that add to it and processes that subtract from it. Asimov starts his discussion with the latter. What's on top of the air? Nothing! So why hasn't it all rushed away? Asimov's answer is "escape velocity" and it's the correct one. Particles need a certain amount of speed to escape the pull of Earth's gravity. It turns out that only a tiny fraction of air molecules have the required speed (6.98 miles per second, if you ignore air friction, etc.).
Asimov launches into a very sophisticated discussion of all this. And he makes a critical observation. It is far easier for light molecules to escape than heavy ones. Oxygen and Nitrogen, the primary constituents of air, are heavy. Hydrogen (you can make it by splitting water molecules) is light. So the tiny amount of air that leaks away every year is made up mostly of Hydrogen. And that means there is essentially no Hydrogen left in Air. (Since a water molecule includes a heavy Oxygen atom little water vapor leaks away so the Hydrogen that is bound up in the water in the air is still with us.)
If we contrast Earth to Jupiter and Saturn we see a big difference. Both of these far more massive planets have much stronger gravitational fields. As a result they have very high escape velocities and thus have been able to hang on to their Hydrogen (and Helium, the second lightest element). Hydrogen is the most common element in the universe. (Helium is the second most common.) So it makes sense that the atmospheres of Jupiter and Saturn have lots of both. And the early Earth likely did too. But Earth's mush weaker gravitational field has let it all leak away over Earth's lifetime.
Asimov correctly observes that hotter molecules move faster than colder ones. So a hot atmosphere should leak away much faster than a cool one. This feeds into a discussion of how the solar system was created. A theory of the time posited that some catastrophe like two stars passing close by might be how it happened. Asimov shoots this down by observing that the Earth has an atmosphere and proceeding from there. Good enough so far. But then he launches into the then prevailing theory of the origin of the solar system.
The Sun throws off a lot of heat. This makes it hard, the theory goes, for Hydrogen and Helium to condense into a planet that is close to the Sun. So "gas giant" planets would form in the outer solar system and rocky planets composed of "refectory materials" (stuff with a high melting point) would form close to the Sun. This handily explains why Mercury, Venus, Earth, and Mars (all refectory planets) formed close to the Sun while Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune (all gas giants) formed further out. (Pluto is an exception that we will just ignore.)
This all worked just fine until the Kepler satellite (launched well after Asimov's book was written) and other exo-planet finders came along and found lots of gas giants in orbits that were extremely close to their respective suns. In many cases the orbits of these gas giants are closer to their respective suns than Mercury is to our sun. All these close in gas giants orbiting other stars means that the standard model for the formation of solar systems is wrong. New models have recently come to the fore but it's early days so things will likely change as more is learned and more study, modeling, and theorizing is done.
The planetary formation model of the day is still holding together. It seemed pretty solid to scientists of the time. It is viewed as more wobbly by contemporary scientists due to the way a planetary formation model interacts with a solar system formation model. In any case, here it is, compliments of Mr. Asimov.
Material would clump together eventually growing large enough for gravity to kick in. At that point two things would start to happen. The attraction of material to the clump would accelerate so the planet would start growing quickly once it reached a critical mass. The other thing that would happen is that heavy things would start sinking toward the center and light things would float to the top. So Iron, for instance, would collect at the core while gasses would rise to the surface. Interestingly enough, the material that makes up the "crust", the Earth's surface that we can see and touch, is, for the most part, made up of light materials. So the distribution of heavy material toward the center and light material toward the surface that we see with Earth aligns with this idea.
As noted above the lightest gases would escape. We still have a considerable amount of Hydrogen around because it is locked up in water molecules and other chemicals. And this sort of thing complicates the situation. Asimov estimates that only one part in seventy million of the Earth's original reservoir of Neon is left because Neon doesn't combine to make molecules. Oxygen likes to combine into molecules and is relatively heavy so one in six Oxygen atoms is still around. Nitrogen falls somewhere in the middle so one part in 700,000 of Nitrogen remains. The larger point is that the original composition of Earth and its current composition are quite a bit different. Scientists figure their job is not done until they can account for all of this. And one particular puzzle is water.
How much water has accumulated on Earth over its lifetime and how did the current amount come to be? These are still very active subjects of investigation. Asimov briefly mentions two then popular theories. In the first water was squeezed out of rocks early in Earth's life. It then was turned to atmospheric vapor since things were hot at the time. As things cooled it condensed and formed the oceans much as they are now early in the life of the Earth. Another theory goes for gradualism. The water was squeezed out of rocks slowly over time. (BTW, modern rocks actually contain a lot of water.) So according to this theory the oceans grew to their current size slowly over a long period of time.
There is a third potential source of water that Asimov doesn't mention. Stuff continuously rains down onto Earth from space and it contains a decent amount of water. This process was unknown in Asimov's time because the instruments necessary to study this sort of thing didn't exist back then. Was this process the source of a lot of the water we now see? We don't know. The basic "water" problem is still far from being solved. We now have a lot of data on the level of oceans going back at least hundreds of thousands of years. We know their total volume changed little over that period. So if some process is gradually adding or subtracting water to the oceans it is a very slow process.
We do know that the Earth's atmosphere had a quite different composition when the planet first formed. As I have noted elsewhere (see http://sigma5.blogspot.com/2018/07/deep-genetics.html, for instance) the atmosphere of the early Earth contained lots of Carbon Dioxide. (Venus contains lots of Carbon Dioxide to this day. The result is a surface temperature of 800 degrees.) A study of the geologic record indicates that vast amounts (billions of tons) of Sulfur precipitated out of the atmosphere at one point. Prior to this it is likely that a significant component of air was Sulphuric Acid.
Later a vast amount of Iron (again billions of tons) precipitated out. The effect of that much Iron being in or adjacent to the air and the oceans (rather than being locked up in rocks as it now is) is not as obvious as that of Sulphur but it is important. Scientists have figured out various tricks for determining the amount of Oxygen in the air. Early in the life of the Earth the amount was effectively none. Now it makes up about 20% of what's in Air. (Almost all of the rest is Nitrogen.) Scientists now have a better idea of the history of the composition of air but I don't know any more than I have noted above.
One final note before moving on, Asimov speculated that the air pressure on Mars was about 10% that of Earth. We now know it is far lower. Even so, Mars has weather in the form of dust storms, mini-tornadoes, and other phenomena. Now on to "The Periodic Table".
The idea that there are four elements: Earth, Air, Fire, and Water, goes back to the ancient Greeks and may go back even farther. To this the Greeks added a fifth element. The heavens were composed of Ether (often spelled Aether with the "a" and the "e" smashed together). Asimov correctly characterizes the Greek approach as "theoretical and speculative". As such, they felt no need to subject their theories to experimental verification. The first group to actually subject this kind of thinking to experimental verification was, of all people, the medieval alchemists.
They started adding elements to the list. Mercury was responsible for metallic properties. Sulfur imparted flammability. Salt imparted resistance to heat, according to one of the best of the medieval alchemists, Paracelsus. With this theoretical framework it made perfect sense to believe that a "philosopher's stone" existed that would turn "base metal" (lead) into precious metal (gold). Success would produce vast wealth so quackery eventually became rampant. Kings could be induced to provide the medieval equivalent of "research grants" in the reasonable expectation of a substantial return. This quackery eventually destroyed the reputation of alchemists and alchemy but there were many honest and intelligent practitioners. One of them was Sir Isaac Newton.
Eventually the ethical alchemists started calling what they were doing chemistry and, in an effort to distance themselves from unethical alchemists, disavowed any attempt to find the philosopher's stone. Boyle wrote "The Skeptical Chymist" as part of this distancing process. He is now considered a serious scientist and is credited with discovering a modern scientific tenet, "Boyle's Law". It states that if the temperature of a fixed amount of gas is held constant then an increase in pressure will result in a decrease in volume and vice versa.
He also proposed a very modern definition of the word "element". It is "a basic substance which can be combined with other elements to form 'compounds' and which, conversely cannot be broken down to any simpler substance". We can now be more precise due to our subatomic view of the proceedings. But as a practical matter the definition still works well.
This definition now seems obvious. The problem then was that most compounds were not very pure and these impurities confused things massively. But over time scientists got better at creating pure samples and getting predictable, repeatable, results. That slowly led to progress in classifying elements and compounds. Cavendish demonstrated that water was a compound consisting of Hydrogen and Oxygen. Lavoisier showed that air consisted of Oxygen and Nitrogen (the rest of air's constituents are present in such low concentrations that they could then be effectively be ignored). The list of actual elements grew slowly as "compounds" like Tin were added to the list of elements and "elements" like Salt were added to the list of compounds.
And technical advances were necessary. Electrolysis was necessary to break down compounds like line and magnesia (Oxygen plus a new element Magnesium). On the other hand Chlorine was initially thought to be a compound composed of Hydrochloric Acid (assumed incorrectly to be an element) and Oxygen. And an old concept that dated back to the ancient Greeks soon became relevant. All matter is composed of small indivisible particles called "atoms", the concept opined. The concept dates back to Democritus but was resurrected in modern form by Dalton.
He observed that the rules for combining many gasses could be explained if it was assumed that certain gasses were elements and other gasses consisted of compound particles composed of a certain specific number of atomic particles of this elemental gas, a certain specific number atomic particles of that elemental gas, etc. This "atomic" idea was soon expanded to cover all elements, not just gasses. He also concluded that one of the most important properties of an atomic particle of a specific element was its weight, what we now call its "atomic weight".
This led to some extremely clever techniques being developed for determining the relative weights of various elements. An atom of Oxygen weighs almost exactly 16 times as much as an atom of Hydrogen, for instance. It was far beyond the capability of scientists of the time to determine the absolute weight of a single atom. The obvious solution was to use these ratios. The only thing necessary was to pick the base number. After several tries it was decided to arbitrarily decree that Oxygen weighed 16 and go from there.
At the time nothing was known about isotopes. An element can exist in several forms. They all have the same chemical properties but different weights. Many elements consist largely of a single isotope so, for that element, there isn't a problem. But Oxygen isn't one of them. There is lots of what we now call O-16. But there is also a goodly amount of O-18. So a mix of isotopes of Oxygen didn't work well as a standard. In 1959, too late for Asimov's book, the standard was changed so that the atomic weight of the C-12 isotope of Carbon was set to exactly 12. The "Dalton ratios" were then applied to come up with a revised atomic weight for each isotope of each element.
The first "picture" of a single atom was taken in 1955 by Mueller. That was a big deal at the time. But we can now take movies of groups of single atoms on select surfaces. We can even move individual atoms around. Something called an "atomic force microscope" can measure forces between single atoms or small collections of atoms. What we can now do in this area would look like magic to scientists in the '50s. But back to our story.
The list of elements kept growing and growing. The urge grew to put this list into some kind of order so that it would be more manageable and useful. The first version of the list just ordered them by atomic weight. But in 1862 Cannizarro arranged them into rows and columns such that elements with similar chemical properties fell into the same column. Renia did the same thing independently but the idea did not catch on until Mendeleev (and others) came up with an improved version of the same idea.
What Mendeleev in particular did was to assign more importance to preserving the regularities of his table and less to putting them in order solely by weight. He emphasized the periodicities in his "periodic table". This led him to fix various problems he saw when he strictly adhered to weight order. If the chemical properties did not align properly when certain elements were placed where their weight indicated they should go he switched things around.
In some cases the generally accepted atomic weight was wrong. In others an element weighs more than it should for complex quantum mechanical reasons. We now use "atomic number", the number of protons an element has, instead of atomic weight to organize the periodic table. Each isotope of an element has a certain number of protons and a certain number of neutrons. Each of these particles weighs approximately one atomic unit. So O-16 has 8 protons and 8 neutrons and an atomic weight of 16. O-18 has the same 8 protons but 10 neutrons for an atomic weight of approximately 18 (the discrepancy is due to quantum mechanical effects). Chemical properties are determined by the number of protons and unaffected by the number of neutrons. And none of this was known at the time (roughly 1870).
What made scientists take Mendeleev's work seriously were the holes. He left three holes in his table because he could find no element that fit. Shifting things around to close the gaps messed up the orderly progression of chemical properties. So he left those slots empty and boldly predicted that elements would eventually be found to fill each empty slot. And they were. Gallium was discovered in 1875. Scandium was discovered in 1879. And Germanium was discovered in 1886.
In 1911 Barkla discovered that each element has a unique X-ray signature. Laue found that crystals could "diffract" (bend) X-rays. They were waves and waves have a wavelength. X-ray studies of elements led to a technique for determining an element's atomic number. A gap in the sequence of atomic numbers indicated that an element was missing. A number of gaps were found this way. Some were filled quickly. Some took considerably longer.
For a long time it was assumed that the list stopped at 92 (Uranium). Since then various "artificial" (so called because they were first created using various scientific techniques and were incorrectly thought to not exist in nature) elements have been created. At the time of the book the list had been extended to 102. Since then it has been extended to 118.
Since Asimov wrote this book both theory and practice in this area has advanced by leaps and bounds. Many scientific discoveries follow from better tools. And the tools have gotten much better. The energies available to scientists are now much higher. The distances and times that can be studied have gotten spectacularly smaller. The work-horse tool of the day was the synchrotron. This was a device that applied strong magnetic fields to cause charged particles to spin in circles inside the device. We how have the LHC. It is a circular tube 27 kilometers long which uses fantastically powerful magnets. Back in the day, the largest synchrotron fit into a single room.
Computer power and speed have also increased vastly. So computations that would have taken centuries on computers of that period can now be done in minutes. And tedious processes have been automated. If you shoot a charged particle through a special tank it will leave a trail of small droplets that can be photographed. These photographs can be analyzed by having graduate students look at them and take measurements. That was then. Now solid state devices are available that can much more accurately determine the path of a charged particle and instantly analyze it. This means that billions of paths can be examined where before it was hard to examine thousands of much more low resolution pictures.
These advances and some theoretical advances have allowed us to have a much more nuanced picture of elements, chemical reactions, and the subatomic world. But I am going to defer discussion of that until I reach the appropriate sections of Asimov's book.
Friday, July 27, 2018
Wednesday, July 18, 2018
Deep Genetics
First, a note about the title. Many years ago Bill Gates mentioned somewhere that he had learned a lot by studying something called "deep history". It turns out that the name comes from an idea popularized by Daniel Lord Smail, a Harvard History professor. I took a video version of a course on the subject that used to be offered through a company called "Great Courses". Sad to say, it looks like they no longer offer it. But the course gave me a chance to see what Gates was talking about and I was grateful for the experience. So what kind of history is "deep" history?
Let's start out with what "history" is. (And, yes, there is a precise definition of the word.) History is what people have written about what happened, about people and events. The key idea is that history is written. If it's not in a book its not history. That means "history" covers at most 3,000 years and often far less. We have histories written by ancient Romans, Greeks, Egyptians, Chinese, etc. Writing has to have been invented and someone has to have written specifically about events, past and present.
Writing that goes beyond business and tax records hasn't been around for very long. It is necessary that people engage in this more broad type of writing (and for their work effort to be preserved) for a particular historic record to exist. And these early historians tended to make things up when they were writing about events that had not happened in the recent past. So we get, for instance, an entirely mythological description of how and by whom the city of Rome was founded. But even allowing for this, early histories typically did not venture far back into the past.
What precedes history is archeology. You dig things up and try to figure out what happened and who was involved. For a long time what archeologists mostly dug up was bones. The rest was mostly stuff people made like pots and jewelry. Archeology allows us to study much more of the past. But archeology as most people envision it (i.e. Indiana Jones digging up stuff) only takes us back so far. And that "so far" is to something called the "Cambrian Explosion".
Consider most people's idea of an archeological "dig". A relatively small piece of land is carefully excavated and every interesting object is located, examined, catalogued, and later studied. How are interesting objects located? People see them poking out of the ground. And the important thing about this is that people see them. The object is large enough to be visible with the naked eye. It turns out that all life forms that are big enough to be seen with the naked eye date from the Cambrian Explosion or later. But the Cambrian Explosion happened in round numbers 500,000 years ago. That sounds like a long time but the earth is 4.54 billion years old. (This number is known to be correct within an accuracy of plus or minus 1%.) So what happened in the intervening 4 billion years?
Interesting question. And it's one that science has only a general idea of what the answer is. So let's ask a related question. How long has life existed on earth? Here too science has only a general idea. The best guess (and at this point, it's a guess) is that life has existed on earth for between 3.77 and 4.28 billion years. So why is it a guess? And why is the range so large? The problem is a simple one. We are trying to positively identify the remains of tiny single celled creatures. They are quite fragile, have no bones, and are tiny. This means they leave no trace of themselves behind except in extremely extraordinary and extremely unusual situations. Finding a needle is a haystack (magnet, anyone?) is a piece of cake in comparison.
As a result the first really solid evidence for life involved finding the mineralized (i.e. fossilized) remains of a single celled microorganism in a kind of rock called "Apex chert" in a formation in Australia. It has been dated to 3.564 billion years ago. But the microorganism in question looks pretty complicated. So scientists speculate that it's predecessors stretch back a short (i.e. to 3.77 billion years ago) or a long (i.e. to 4.28 billion years ago) time. In any case, it appears that it took less than a billion years for life to originate on earth. And it appears that not much happened between then and 3 billion years later when the Cambrian Explosion happened.
Before going further let me take a small side trip. What's with this whole Cambrian Explosion thing, and specifically, what's with the whole "explosion" business? Glad you asked. As far as anyone can tell all life was composed of single celled creatures until about 800,000 years ago. Then something happened and multi-celled creatures appeared seemingly instantly. They quickly diverged into many different forms. But these early creatures were still too small to be seen by the naked eye. And, more importantly, they didn't have bones or shells. That made them hard to find, especially if you weren't looking very carefully for them.
Then in another "blink of an eye" moment shells and bones and other stuff that gets preserved in sediment started showing up. And the creatures with the bones, shells, etc. were big enough to be seen by the naked eye. This point where geologists and archeologists went from "just rock" to "rock with all kinds of wee beasties in it" seemed to scientists of the time to be like an explosion. They went from no life to all kinds of life (and lots of it looking truly weird) in an instant. Life exploded into existence.
The Cambrian explosion is usually dated to 541 million years ago. I used 500,000 above because it is a round number that is close enough for my purposes. (The same thing is true for my 800,000 number.) It didn't take long for broad speculation to emerge that there was something before the Cambrian explosion. And careful study found the multi-celled predecessors of the critters that "seemingly sprang from nowhere". And thus the explosion was explained. Lots of life had been around for a while. It just turned out that in many cases it all of a sudden evolved into the kinds of creatures that can be identified by careful "naked eye" examination. So it was pretty easy to trace all the variety of life that first appeared during the explosion to earlier life and to trace this earlier life back to single celled creatures.
But that still left the question of what happened between roughly 3.5 billion years ago and roughly 0.5 billion years ago? And that parallels the approach that the "deep history" lectures took. Instead of confining themselves to history, the last 3,000 years, the lectures went back to the origin of life on earth. And, in fact, they went all the way back to the origin of the known universe 13.8 billion years ago. I don't want to go that far back. So I am going to focus on the period between 3.5 (roughly) billion years ago and 0.5 (roughly) billion years ago. And I am going to focus on the evolution of life during this period.
Science knows very little about this time period. The problem is that what survives of life from this period doesn't tell us much. Each creature is microscopic and nothing of the actual creature survives. What does survive can be described as a shadow. All the chemicals that originally made up the creature are replaced by minerals. The minerals often start out as liquids but solidify over time leaving the traces we can now dig up and examine. It would be nice to have DNA from these creatures. But DNA is a very fragile chemical when subjected to vast amounts of time and to geological processes.
Scientists have become adept at recovering DNA from bones and teeth that are thousands of years old. But that gets us back only about as far as history gets us. Various creatures get stuck in amber. Some DNA from creatures that are tens of thousands of years ago can sometimes be recovered because the amber provides a very stable and protective environment. That gets us farther back to the most recent part of the archeological period. The conceit behind the "Jurassic Park" movie was that DNA from tens of millions of years ago could be recovered and used to build dinosaurs. If this were possible that would gets much deeper into the archeological period.
It seems unlikely this will ever be possible. And remember, we are now talking about hundreds of millions of years. We want to get to billions of years back. It is unlikely in the extreme that DNA from this far back will ever be available. And the same is true for the other chemicals that make up cells. It is unlikely that it will ever be able to study anything except the shadow of these creatures.
So scientists have only two sources of information. First, they get a limited amount of shape information from the shadow in the rock that is all that is left. The other information is environmental. The early atmosphere of the earth was quite different than it is now. At one point vast quantities (billions of tons) of Sulfur precipitated out and formed vast deposits in the earth. The same thing later happened with Iron. Most modern life forms can not survive in environments where there is too much Iron or Sulfur.
And we now separate life into plants and animals. Plants take up Carbon Dioxide and excrete Oxygen. Animals take up Oxygen and excrete Carbon Dioxide. Animals could not come into existence until Oxygen came to make up a significant portion of the atmosphere. And many animals, humans included, can't survive if the atmosphere contains even 1% Carbon Dioxide. So almost all of the Carbon Dioxide was scrubbed from the atmosphere at some point. We know this because we know the early atmosphere of the earth contained a lot of Carbon Dioxide.
Life optimizes itself to survive in a particular environment. So early life was well set up to handle the environment of that period (lots of Carbon Dioxide and other stuff no longer present, no Oxygen and lots of other stuff now present). It also had to be able to thrive in a general environment containing lots of Sulfur and Iron, just to mention two obvious differences. How did life of the time do that? We just don't know.
But those are specific adaptations and I am interested in more general ones. There seems to be no reason that whatever allowed early single cell organisms to survive lots of Carbon Dioxide, Sulfur, Iron, etc. and little or no Oxygen, etc. from becoming multicellular (and large). But they didn't. Why?
When one is discussing evolution the phrase "survival of the fittest" is often bandied around. It is generally assumed to be vaguely negative. Only mean beasties with no morals and big teeth need apply. But that is not at all the situation. There is no time in the entire period where life existed on the earth when single celled creatures have not been the dominant life form in terms of numbers (or even in terms of aggregate mass). Lions seem fitter to survive. But there are only a few Lions. There used to be more but not so many more that you could add their total weight together and get a total weight that was greater than that of all the green algae in the ocean. If you go by numbers instead mass the margin favoring green algae is far greater. Either way, the algae win.
An organism in order to be "fit to survive" need only be as good as or better than its immediate competition. So a particular strain of green algae need only be worried about being as fit as or fitter than other strains of green algae. It also needs to be able to thrive well enough so that after all the other critters that eat it have dined there are lots of green algae left. And my larger point is that Lions and green algae are not in competition with each other. The green algae is much better at being a green algae than a Lion would be. The Lion is much better at being a Lion than the green algae would be. They are pretty much oblivious to each other.
But taking the long view, somehow a green algae-like single celled creature evolved into a multi-cellular Lion. But that's just the context. The question I want to focus on is why did some single cell creatures evolved into multicell creatures (and eventually into Lions) when for billions of years they didn't. I have a guess.
For a long time there was a theory that there was a long term evolutionary trend toward complexity. People went further. They said "complex is better" and by "better" they meant fitter. But a careful study found lots of examples of more complex giving way to less complex and the less complex creatures surviving and thriving. To provide but one example, some fish survive in caves where they are cut off from all light. Over generations they lost the ability to see. The complex eye (and the visual system that backs it) deteriorates and eventually disappears. The reason is simple. Eyes (and eyesight) exact a cost. If eyes and eyesight don't provide a benefit it makes fish with eyes less fit and they get beat out by more fit fish without eyes.
I want to turn this thinking inside out. But I am going to do it in steps. In general eyes are very helpful. That's why almost all animals have them. And animals have evolved to the point where they have all the machinery necessary to make eyes. In most situations eyes add complexity but they allow an animal to respond to its environment in more and more complex ways than an animal without eyes. So the presence of the eye (and its supporting vision system) makes the animal more fit. But even in this situation things are more complex.
Some animals (eagles) have very good eyes while others (people) have eyes that are not so good. I want to emphasize the relatively of the concept of "survival of the fittest". Complexity in general and good eyesight in particular do not always contribute positively to fitness. An animal with poorer eyesight can be more fit than another animal with good eyesight. Perhaps the "less fit" animal has other different attributes that are more important and more than make up for the poor eyesight. You have now had the longer and fuller version of why there is no universal evolutionary drive toward complexity.
Now let me back up and take the long view. And let me drill down to cells. A chance confluence of circumstances caused the first living cell to come into existence. Current scientific thinking says all life descended from a single cell. But that is based on the fact that all modern cells share a lot of the same cellular machinery. It's a good scientific theory because it is the simplest. But that just means it can be tossed out the window and replaced by a different theory if evidence is found that discredits the current simple theory and supports a different more complex theory.
And science knows very little about this first cell. But another assumption is that it was simple. All the things that would have had to come together to make an extremely simple cell require an alignment of incredibly unlikely events. But a lot of things happen when you take into account the entire earth and hundreds of millions of years. That just means it requires a very large playing field (the whole earth) and a whole lot of patience (nearly a billion years) to create even a very simple cell.
But a more complex cell is, well, complex. So it seems like this is asking too much to assume the first cells were complex at all. If the necessary conditions for creating a complex cell happen once in a blue moon then it would be reasonable to believe that the circumstances necessary to create a very simple cell would happen on a daily basis. It seems more likely, therefore, that more complex cells eventually emerged out of a large population of very simple cells.
Over time and space there would occasionally emerge the circumstances necessary to turn a relatively simple cell into a more complex one. The more complex cell would evolve out of an environment containing many simpler cells much more quickly and easily than all on its own in a place where there were no simple cells available to jump start the process. This is a very reasonable argument but scientists just don't know enough to do anything but speculate as to whether it is correct or not.
And it is important to keep something in mind. This whole fitness business is relative. A very simple cell is probably not very fit compared to modern cells. But what's its competition? Nothing. It doesn't have to be very "fit" because there is nothing out there trying to get it. Sure, chance, or a change in circumstances (storm, volcanic eruption, etc.), could get it. But that's just bad luck. The concept of lunch, as in something seeing it as lunch, implies the kind of active competition for resources that was completely lacking back then.
Now let me return to my "more complex organisms can have a more complex response to their environment than less complex ones" argument. If an organism is capable of a more complex response to its environment than another organism then the potential exists to do better. Consider an organism that is only capable of a simple response to a predator, say wiggling. Now consider a slightly more complex organism that can both wiggle and can chose the direction it wiggles in. Both may or may not survive a given attack but it seems likely that the organism that can chose its direction can chose to wiggle away from its predator and that should give it a better chance at surviving.
But if neither organism is complex enough to be able to wiggle then it doesn't matter if there is a direction that would work better than others. You can't do what you can't do. Simple cells can't do much. It is unlikely, for instance, that they can wiggle. But wiggling has a cost. It uses up energy that could be used for another purpose. So complexity in the form of being able to wiggle has a cost. The trick is to gain more in benefit than you lose in cost. And that means just a random increase in complexity is often going to cost more than it benefits. And that means adding complexity is not as straight forward as it initially seems.
But if you get it right it is helpful. And we now don't see simple single celled creatures in our modern world. The simplest single cell creatures we now see are actually very complex. As such all modern cells are capable of displaying very complex responses to their environment. And what that means is that if you introduced a very simple cell into our modern environment it would probably not take long for some modern cell to notice that cell and turn it into lunch. And the simple cell would be incapable of mounting an effective defense. So all the simplest cells are long gone from the modern environment. And that means we have no place to look to see what they would have looked like and how they would have worked.
And you now have all the pieces of my theory. I theorize that the interactions between cells in a multi-celled creature needs to be quite complicated in order for the new configuration to be beneficial (more fit). For the reasons elucidated above the evolution of complex cells was a very slow process. It may have depended on changes like removing most of the Sulfur, Iron, and Carbon Dioxide from the environment and adding Oxygen and other components, or not. But I speculate that quite a bit of quite complex cellular machinery must be on hand to make a two-or-more cell organism more fit than one celled organisms.
How complex? I am not an expert. In fact, I try to avoid the "wet" sciences. But I have picked up a lot of information along the way. So let's take a tour of a modern cell. We start with the outer membrane. It's job is to keep the outside stuff outside and the inside stuff inside. But this turns out to be a quite complex process. Things need to move in the correct direction on a continuous basis. But only the right things. So the outer membrane contains things called "ion channels". Ions are things like Potassium and Sodium. The inside of the cell requires that the proper amounts of each be maintained. So each channel must monitor external and internal conditions and cause the right amount of the right kind of ions to flow in the right direction. And this is the simplest thing that's going on.
In general the outer membrane must pull raw materials in and push garbage out. But wait, there's more. There is the whole "signaling" process. Take a simple example. The outside of the outer membrane contains things called "receptors". These receptors continuously sample the environment outside the cell looking for specific chemicals. When the right chemical comes along it gets "bound" to the receptor. When this happens something changes within the cell. This is the process used by Morphine. Certain brain cells have "Morphine" receptors. This kicks off a change within the cell that results in pain signals from the rest of the body getting shut down.
There are many cells in our bodies. Different cells have different suites of special purpose receptors. Most cells are indifferent to most chemical signals. But this business of some cells in the body manufacturing some chemical that travels to the site of a different cell then attaches to a receptor is a common method of intercellular communication. It depends on specific cells being able to manufacture and release specific chemicals which can then travel around in the body and eventually find the correct receptor on the correct cell.
Scientists literally don't know who many of these unique communications paths there are. Suffice it to say that the number is more than 10,000. And these chemicals don't always come from a cell located elsewhere in the body. As morphine (and caffeine and LSD and the AIDS virus and untold other examples) demonstrates, the chemical can come from pretty much anywhere. That's enough about the outer membrane. It is complicated but not by any stretch of the imagination the most complicated part of cells.
If there is an outer membrane it stands to reason that there is another membrane. And the obvious (and correct) name for this is the inner membrane. So what's inside it? That's where the cell's DNA and associated machinery resides. DNA has the form of a double helix. For our purposes that means it has two backbones. Is there a difference between the two? No! The machinery of the cell can't tell one from the other. And one of the things DNA is responsible for is holding the recipe for proteins.
Cells need lots of proteins and they need very specific proteins. DNA contains the recipe for making each and every one of them. It requires a quite complex set of mechanisms to turn the DNA information into the appropriate protein. There is a piece of chemical machinery that scans down the DNA backbone. Which backbone? It doesn't matter as both backbones are scanned. Anyhow, at some point a sequence of DNA bases is located that says "the recipe for a protein starts here". The DNA is scanned a little further to see if it is the recipe for the right protein. If not then the backbone scan continues.
But if it is the correct protein the chemical machine creates the starting end of the protein. Then it reads the sequence of amino acids that make up the protein off of the DNA (see http://sigma5.blogspot.com/2016/04/dna-101.html for more on this). It then fishes a free floating fragment of the correct amino acid out of the soup floating around inside the cell and attaches it. It then moves on attaching amino acid after amino acid. Eventually it hits the "this is the end" signal on the DNA backbone, completes the protein and quits. Many of the various chemical machines are a specialized version of RNA. RNA is a cousin to DNA. The biggest difference is that RNA has only backbone while DNA has two.
But this is only one of the tasks the various components of the nucleus are capable of. Another key process is cell division. New cells are created by having one cell divide into two. Part of this process involves copying all the DNA in the nucleus to make a second identical copy. This is a very complex process. And these two processes do not exhaust the capabilities of the chemical machinery resident in the nucleus. But they are all I am going to talk about.
And then there is the middle, the part between the outer membrane and the inner membrane. This is where the work of the cell is done. And there are thousands of different kinds of cells in many creatures. So there is "kidney" machinery in kidney cells, "brain" machinery in brane cells, "skin" machinery in skin cells, and so on. And remember all these cells contain exactly the same DNA. And they are all the many times great grandchildren of the single cell we all grow out of.
Think back to the machinery in the nucleus. As cells divide often one will take on one role and the other will take on a different role. How does this come to be? Well, cells have a large amount of very complex regulatory machinery. Some of it takes its orders from parts of the DNA that don't code for proteins. Some of it uses different mechanisms. But it's all there in each cell along with the other stuff I have talked about.
I hope I have given you a flavor of just how complex the cells that make up modern plants and animals are. And by some process or another a liver cell has to figure out it is a liver cell then behave like a liver cell. A brain cell must figure out it is a brain cell and then behave accordingly. And so on. This specialization was not necessary when critters only had a single cell. Roughly speaking all the cells of a specific type of critter were the same. But differentiation, the process of splitting one cell into two cells, each of which behaves differently, but differently in a very specific way, that's a capability that is necessary for multi-cell animals to have.
That's a lot of complexity. And complex cells with complex behavior requires cells with a lot of cellular machinery. Given all this and given the fact that complexity is not always a good thing it is not surprising to me that it took three billion years for cells to acquire all the complexity necessary to produce multi-cell critters that were fitter than single cell critters. It would be nice if scientists knew how all this came to be but they don't. All they know is that the pieces were finally in place roughly 800,000 years ago.
From there it did not take long (tens to hundreds of thousands of years) for widely different types of extremely successful multi-cellular organisms to come into existence. Since they were so successful they evolved into many and bizarre critters. But it didn't take long before there were lots of multi-cellular creatures around. And at that point the level of fitness necessary to thrive and survive went up a lot. And that resulted in most of these early different kinds of multi-cellular creatures being wiped out.
But evolution continued and things like bones and shells were developed. These enhancements were again wildly successful so many wildly different variants quickly appeared. And that quickly caused the level of fitness necessary to survive and thrive to again increase. And so may of those early designs were quickly wiped out leaving creatures that for the most part we would recognize today.
But the Cambrian explosion was not the end of it. Evolution continues to this day. Darwin took note of animal breeders. Dogs in particular now come in a wide variety of shapes, sizes, dispositions, attributes, etc. This is because of the forced evolution dogs are subjected to by people. There are entire breeds of dogs that were not in existence a few hundred years ago. Darwin laid all this out more than 150 years ago but people, for reasons that are beyond me, don't find it convincing so how about this?
Scientists can now demonstrate evolution in the test tube in the lab over time periods of a single human lifetime. There are very short lived single celled creatures that are easy to culture in the lab. Zillions of them fit in a standard "chem lab" flask where they happily live out their lives. They are born, live, breed, and die within a day. That means you can rack up a thousand generations in three years or ten thousand in thirty.
Scientists have started out with a colony consisting of a large number (remember, they are small) of genetically identical single celled creatures of this kind in a flask in a lab. They have in some cases just let them do their thing for generation after generation to see what would happen. In other cases they changed their diets, or the amount of light they were subjected to, or the acidity of the solution they were cultured in, or other environmental variables. In every case they wanted to see what would happen after a few or a few hundred or a few thousand generations.
These creatures are so simple that they can be frozen then brought back to life years later without suffering any harm. So scientists regularly split one colony into two, each in its own flask. Or they split a colony into two and freeze one half. This lets scientists do things like repeating the same experiment multiple times or doing a family of experiments where a single parameter is changed by various amounts. Later the critters can be genetically sequenced to see what has happened. This has allowed all the basic tenets of evolution to be proved out in detail and in controlled lab experiments that can be preproduced by others.
My ideas about what happened during that three billion year period are pure speculation. But the basic tenets of evolution are not.
Let's start out with what "history" is. (And, yes, there is a precise definition of the word.) History is what people have written about what happened, about people and events. The key idea is that history is written. If it's not in a book its not history. That means "history" covers at most 3,000 years and often far less. We have histories written by ancient Romans, Greeks, Egyptians, Chinese, etc. Writing has to have been invented and someone has to have written specifically about events, past and present.
Writing that goes beyond business and tax records hasn't been around for very long. It is necessary that people engage in this more broad type of writing (and for their work effort to be preserved) for a particular historic record to exist. And these early historians tended to make things up when they were writing about events that had not happened in the recent past. So we get, for instance, an entirely mythological description of how and by whom the city of Rome was founded. But even allowing for this, early histories typically did not venture far back into the past.
What precedes history is archeology. You dig things up and try to figure out what happened and who was involved. For a long time what archeologists mostly dug up was bones. The rest was mostly stuff people made like pots and jewelry. Archeology allows us to study much more of the past. But archeology as most people envision it (i.e. Indiana Jones digging up stuff) only takes us back so far. And that "so far" is to something called the "Cambrian Explosion".
Consider most people's idea of an archeological "dig". A relatively small piece of land is carefully excavated and every interesting object is located, examined, catalogued, and later studied. How are interesting objects located? People see them poking out of the ground. And the important thing about this is that people see them. The object is large enough to be visible with the naked eye. It turns out that all life forms that are big enough to be seen with the naked eye date from the Cambrian Explosion or later. But the Cambrian Explosion happened in round numbers 500,000 years ago. That sounds like a long time but the earth is 4.54 billion years old. (This number is known to be correct within an accuracy of plus or minus 1%.) So what happened in the intervening 4 billion years?
Interesting question. And it's one that science has only a general idea of what the answer is. So let's ask a related question. How long has life existed on earth? Here too science has only a general idea. The best guess (and at this point, it's a guess) is that life has existed on earth for between 3.77 and 4.28 billion years. So why is it a guess? And why is the range so large? The problem is a simple one. We are trying to positively identify the remains of tiny single celled creatures. They are quite fragile, have no bones, and are tiny. This means they leave no trace of themselves behind except in extremely extraordinary and extremely unusual situations. Finding a needle is a haystack (magnet, anyone?) is a piece of cake in comparison.
As a result the first really solid evidence for life involved finding the mineralized (i.e. fossilized) remains of a single celled microorganism in a kind of rock called "Apex chert" in a formation in Australia. It has been dated to 3.564 billion years ago. But the microorganism in question looks pretty complicated. So scientists speculate that it's predecessors stretch back a short (i.e. to 3.77 billion years ago) or a long (i.e. to 4.28 billion years ago) time. In any case, it appears that it took less than a billion years for life to originate on earth. And it appears that not much happened between then and 3 billion years later when the Cambrian Explosion happened.
Before going further let me take a small side trip. What's with this whole Cambrian Explosion thing, and specifically, what's with the whole "explosion" business? Glad you asked. As far as anyone can tell all life was composed of single celled creatures until about 800,000 years ago. Then something happened and multi-celled creatures appeared seemingly instantly. They quickly diverged into many different forms. But these early creatures were still too small to be seen by the naked eye. And, more importantly, they didn't have bones or shells. That made them hard to find, especially if you weren't looking very carefully for them.
Then in another "blink of an eye" moment shells and bones and other stuff that gets preserved in sediment started showing up. And the creatures with the bones, shells, etc. were big enough to be seen by the naked eye. This point where geologists and archeologists went from "just rock" to "rock with all kinds of wee beasties in it" seemed to scientists of the time to be like an explosion. They went from no life to all kinds of life (and lots of it looking truly weird) in an instant. Life exploded into existence.
The Cambrian explosion is usually dated to 541 million years ago. I used 500,000 above because it is a round number that is close enough for my purposes. (The same thing is true for my 800,000 number.) It didn't take long for broad speculation to emerge that there was something before the Cambrian explosion. And careful study found the multi-celled predecessors of the critters that "seemingly sprang from nowhere". And thus the explosion was explained. Lots of life had been around for a while. It just turned out that in many cases it all of a sudden evolved into the kinds of creatures that can be identified by careful "naked eye" examination. So it was pretty easy to trace all the variety of life that first appeared during the explosion to earlier life and to trace this earlier life back to single celled creatures.
But that still left the question of what happened between roughly 3.5 billion years ago and roughly 0.5 billion years ago? And that parallels the approach that the "deep history" lectures took. Instead of confining themselves to history, the last 3,000 years, the lectures went back to the origin of life on earth. And, in fact, they went all the way back to the origin of the known universe 13.8 billion years ago. I don't want to go that far back. So I am going to focus on the period between 3.5 (roughly) billion years ago and 0.5 (roughly) billion years ago. And I am going to focus on the evolution of life during this period.
Science knows very little about this time period. The problem is that what survives of life from this period doesn't tell us much. Each creature is microscopic and nothing of the actual creature survives. What does survive can be described as a shadow. All the chemicals that originally made up the creature are replaced by minerals. The minerals often start out as liquids but solidify over time leaving the traces we can now dig up and examine. It would be nice to have DNA from these creatures. But DNA is a very fragile chemical when subjected to vast amounts of time and to geological processes.
Scientists have become adept at recovering DNA from bones and teeth that are thousands of years old. But that gets us back only about as far as history gets us. Various creatures get stuck in amber. Some DNA from creatures that are tens of thousands of years ago can sometimes be recovered because the amber provides a very stable and protective environment. That gets us farther back to the most recent part of the archeological period. The conceit behind the "Jurassic Park" movie was that DNA from tens of millions of years ago could be recovered and used to build dinosaurs. If this were possible that would gets much deeper into the archeological period.
It seems unlikely this will ever be possible. And remember, we are now talking about hundreds of millions of years. We want to get to billions of years back. It is unlikely in the extreme that DNA from this far back will ever be available. And the same is true for the other chemicals that make up cells. It is unlikely that it will ever be able to study anything except the shadow of these creatures.
So scientists have only two sources of information. First, they get a limited amount of shape information from the shadow in the rock that is all that is left. The other information is environmental. The early atmosphere of the earth was quite different than it is now. At one point vast quantities (billions of tons) of Sulfur precipitated out and formed vast deposits in the earth. The same thing later happened with Iron. Most modern life forms can not survive in environments where there is too much Iron or Sulfur.
And we now separate life into plants and animals. Plants take up Carbon Dioxide and excrete Oxygen. Animals take up Oxygen and excrete Carbon Dioxide. Animals could not come into existence until Oxygen came to make up a significant portion of the atmosphere. And many animals, humans included, can't survive if the atmosphere contains even 1% Carbon Dioxide. So almost all of the Carbon Dioxide was scrubbed from the atmosphere at some point. We know this because we know the early atmosphere of the earth contained a lot of Carbon Dioxide.
Life optimizes itself to survive in a particular environment. So early life was well set up to handle the environment of that period (lots of Carbon Dioxide and other stuff no longer present, no Oxygen and lots of other stuff now present). It also had to be able to thrive in a general environment containing lots of Sulfur and Iron, just to mention two obvious differences. How did life of the time do that? We just don't know.
But those are specific adaptations and I am interested in more general ones. There seems to be no reason that whatever allowed early single cell organisms to survive lots of Carbon Dioxide, Sulfur, Iron, etc. and little or no Oxygen, etc. from becoming multicellular (and large). But they didn't. Why?
When one is discussing evolution the phrase "survival of the fittest" is often bandied around. It is generally assumed to be vaguely negative. Only mean beasties with no morals and big teeth need apply. But that is not at all the situation. There is no time in the entire period where life existed on the earth when single celled creatures have not been the dominant life form in terms of numbers (or even in terms of aggregate mass). Lions seem fitter to survive. But there are only a few Lions. There used to be more but not so many more that you could add their total weight together and get a total weight that was greater than that of all the green algae in the ocean. If you go by numbers instead mass the margin favoring green algae is far greater. Either way, the algae win.
An organism in order to be "fit to survive" need only be as good as or better than its immediate competition. So a particular strain of green algae need only be worried about being as fit as or fitter than other strains of green algae. It also needs to be able to thrive well enough so that after all the other critters that eat it have dined there are lots of green algae left. And my larger point is that Lions and green algae are not in competition with each other. The green algae is much better at being a green algae than a Lion would be. The Lion is much better at being a Lion than the green algae would be. They are pretty much oblivious to each other.
But taking the long view, somehow a green algae-like single celled creature evolved into a multi-cellular Lion. But that's just the context. The question I want to focus on is why did some single cell creatures evolved into multicell creatures (and eventually into Lions) when for billions of years they didn't. I have a guess.
For a long time there was a theory that there was a long term evolutionary trend toward complexity. People went further. They said "complex is better" and by "better" they meant fitter. But a careful study found lots of examples of more complex giving way to less complex and the less complex creatures surviving and thriving. To provide but one example, some fish survive in caves where they are cut off from all light. Over generations they lost the ability to see. The complex eye (and the visual system that backs it) deteriorates and eventually disappears. The reason is simple. Eyes (and eyesight) exact a cost. If eyes and eyesight don't provide a benefit it makes fish with eyes less fit and they get beat out by more fit fish without eyes.
I want to turn this thinking inside out. But I am going to do it in steps. In general eyes are very helpful. That's why almost all animals have them. And animals have evolved to the point where they have all the machinery necessary to make eyes. In most situations eyes add complexity but they allow an animal to respond to its environment in more and more complex ways than an animal without eyes. So the presence of the eye (and its supporting vision system) makes the animal more fit. But even in this situation things are more complex.
Some animals (eagles) have very good eyes while others (people) have eyes that are not so good. I want to emphasize the relatively of the concept of "survival of the fittest". Complexity in general and good eyesight in particular do not always contribute positively to fitness. An animal with poorer eyesight can be more fit than another animal with good eyesight. Perhaps the "less fit" animal has other different attributes that are more important and more than make up for the poor eyesight. You have now had the longer and fuller version of why there is no universal evolutionary drive toward complexity.
Now let me back up and take the long view. And let me drill down to cells. A chance confluence of circumstances caused the first living cell to come into existence. Current scientific thinking says all life descended from a single cell. But that is based on the fact that all modern cells share a lot of the same cellular machinery. It's a good scientific theory because it is the simplest. But that just means it can be tossed out the window and replaced by a different theory if evidence is found that discredits the current simple theory and supports a different more complex theory.
And science knows very little about this first cell. But another assumption is that it was simple. All the things that would have had to come together to make an extremely simple cell require an alignment of incredibly unlikely events. But a lot of things happen when you take into account the entire earth and hundreds of millions of years. That just means it requires a very large playing field (the whole earth) and a whole lot of patience (nearly a billion years) to create even a very simple cell.
But a more complex cell is, well, complex. So it seems like this is asking too much to assume the first cells were complex at all. If the necessary conditions for creating a complex cell happen once in a blue moon then it would be reasonable to believe that the circumstances necessary to create a very simple cell would happen on a daily basis. It seems more likely, therefore, that more complex cells eventually emerged out of a large population of very simple cells.
Over time and space there would occasionally emerge the circumstances necessary to turn a relatively simple cell into a more complex one. The more complex cell would evolve out of an environment containing many simpler cells much more quickly and easily than all on its own in a place where there were no simple cells available to jump start the process. This is a very reasonable argument but scientists just don't know enough to do anything but speculate as to whether it is correct or not.
And it is important to keep something in mind. This whole fitness business is relative. A very simple cell is probably not very fit compared to modern cells. But what's its competition? Nothing. It doesn't have to be very "fit" because there is nothing out there trying to get it. Sure, chance, or a change in circumstances (storm, volcanic eruption, etc.), could get it. But that's just bad luck. The concept of lunch, as in something seeing it as lunch, implies the kind of active competition for resources that was completely lacking back then.
Now let me return to my "more complex organisms can have a more complex response to their environment than less complex ones" argument. If an organism is capable of a more complex response to its environment than another organism then the potential exists to do better. Consider an organism that is only capable of a simple response to a predator, say wiggling. Now consider a slightly more complex organism that can both wiggle and can chose the direction it wiggles in. Both may or may not survive a given attack but it seems likely that the organism that can chose its direction can chose to wiggle away from its predator and that should give it a better chance at surviving.
But if neither organism is complex enough to be able to wiggle then it doesn't matter if there is a direction that would work better than others. You can't do what you can't do. Simple cells can't do much. It is unlikely, for instance, that they can wiggle. But wiggling has a cost. It uses up energy that could be used for another purpose. So complexity in the form of being able to wiggle has a cost. The trick is to gain more in benefit than you lose in cost. And that means just a random increase in complexity is often going to cost more than it benefits. And that means adding complexity is not as straight forward as it initially seems.
But if you get it right it is helpful. And we now don't see simple single celled creatures in our modern world. The simplest single cell creatures we now see are actually very complex. As such all modern cells are capable of displaying very complex responses to their environment. And what that means is that if you introduced a very simple cell into our modern environment it would probably not take long for some modern cell to notice that cell and turn it into lunch. And the simple cell would be incapable of mounting an effective defense. So all the simplest cells are long gone from the modern environment. And that means we have no place to look to see what they would have looked like and how they would have worked.
And you now have all the pieces of my theory. I theorize that the interactions between cells in a multi-celled creature needs to be quite complicated in order for the new configuration to be beneficial (more fit). For the reasons elucidated above the evolution of complex cells was a very slow process. It may have depended on changes like removing most of the Sulfur, Iron, and Carbon Dioxide from the environment and adding Oxygen and other components, or not. But I speculate that quite a bit of quite complex cellular machinery must be on hand to make a two-or-more cell organism more fit than one celled organisms.
How complex? I am not an expert. In fact, I try to avoid the "wet" sciences. But I have picked up a lot of information along the way. So let's take a tour of a modern cell. We start with the outer membrane. It's job is to keep the outside stuff outside and the inside stuff inside. But this turns out to be a quite complex process. Things need to move in the correct direction on a continuous basis. But only the right things. So the outer membrane contains things called "ion channels". Ions are things like Potassium and Sodium. The inside of the cell requires that the proper amounts of each be maintained. So each channel must monitor external and internal conditions and cause the right amount of the right kind of ions to flow in the right direction. And this is the simplest thing that's going on.
In general the outer membrane must pull raw materials in and push garbage out. But wait, there's more. There is the whole "signaling" process. Take a simple example. The outside of the outer membrane contains things called "receptors". These receptors continuously sample the environment outside the cell looking for specific chemicals. When the right chemical comes along it gets "bound" to the receptor. When this happens something changes within the cell. This is the process used by Morphine. Certain brain cells have "Morphine" receptors. This kicks off a change within the cell that results in pain signals from the rest of the body getting shut down.
There are many cells in our bodies. Different cells have different suites of special purpose receptors. Most cells are indifferent to most chemical signals. But this business of some cells in the body manufacturing some chemical that travels to the site of a different cell then attaches to a receptor is a common method of intercellular communication. It depends on specific cells being able to manufacture and release specific chemicals which can then travel around in the body and eventually find the correct receptor on the correct cell.
Scientists literally don't know who many of these unique communications paths there are. Suffice it to say that the number is more than 10,000. And these chemicals don't always come from a cell located elsewhere in the body. As morphine (and caffeine and LSD and the AIDS virus and untold other examples) demonstrates, the chemical can come from pretty much anywhere. That's enough about the outer membrane. It is complicated but not by any stretch of the imagination the most complicated part of cells.
If there is an outer membrane it stands to reason that there is another membrane. And the obvious (and correct) name for this is the inner membrane. So what's inside it? That's where the cell's DNA and associated machinery resides. DNA has the form of a double helix. For our purposes that means it has two backbones. Is there a difference between the two? No! The machinery of the cell can't tell one from the other. And one of the things DNA is responsible for is holding the recipe for proteins.
Cells need lots of proteins and they need very specific proteins. DNA contains the recipe for making each and every one of them. It requires a quite complex set of mechanisms to turn the DNA information into the appropriate protein. There is a piece of chemical machinery that scans down the DNA backbone. Which backbone? It doesn't matter as both backbones are scanned. Anyhow, at some point a sequence of DNA bases is located that says "the recipe for a protein starts here". The DNA is scanned a little further to see if it is the recipe for the right protein. If not then the backbone scan continues.
But if it is the correct protein the chemical machine creates the starting end of the protein. Then it reads the sequence of amino acids that make up the protein off of the DNA (see http://sigma5.blogspot.com/2016/04/dna-101.html for more on this). It then fishes a free floating fragment of the correct amino acid out of the soup floating around inside the cell and attaches it. It then moves on attaching amino acid after amino acid. Eventually it hits the "this is the end" signal on the DNA backbone, completes the protein and quits. Many of the various chemical machines are a specialized version of RNA. RNA is a cousin to DNA. The biggest difference is that RNA has only backbone while DNA has two.
But this is only one of the tasks the various components of the nucleus are capable of. Another key process is cell division. New cells are created by having one cell divide into two. Part of this process involves copying all the DNA in the nucleus to make a second identical copy. This is a very complex process. And these two processes do not exhaust the capabilities of the chemical machinery resident in the nucleus. But they are all I am going to talk about.
And then there is the middle, the part between the outer membrane and the inner membrane. This is where the work of the cell is done. And there are thousands of different kinds of cells in many creatures. So there is "kidney" machinery in kidney cells, "brain" machinery in brane cells, "skin" machinery in skin cells, and so on. And remember all these cells contain exactly the same DNA. And they are all the many times great grandchildren of the single cell we all grow out of.
Think back to the machinery in the nucleus. As cells divide often one will take on one role and the other will take on a different role. How does this come to be? Well, cells have a large amount of very complex regulatory machinery. Some of it takes its orders from parts of the DNA that don't code for proteins. Some of it uses different mechanisms. But it's all there in each cell along with the other stuff I have talked about.
I hope I have given you a flavor of just how complex the cells that make up modern plants and animals are. And by some process or another a liver cell has to figure out it is a liver cell then behave like a liver cell. A brain cell must figure out it is a brain cell and then behave accordingly. And so on. This specialization was not necessary when critters only had a single cell. Roughly speaking all the cells of a specific type of critter were the same. But differentiation, the process of splitting one cell into two cells, each of which behaves differently, but differently in a very specific way, that's a capability that is necessary for multi-cell animals to have.
That's a lot of complexity. And complex cells with complex behavior requires cells with a lot of cellular machinery. Given all this and given the fact that complexity is not always a good thing it is not surprising to me that it took three billion years for cells to acquire all the complexity necessary to produce multi-cell critters that were fitter than single cell critters. It would be nice if scientists knew how all this came to be but they don't. All they know is that the pieces were finally in place roughly 800,000 years ago.
From there it did not take long (tens to hundreds of thousands of years) for widely different types of extremely successful multi-cellular organisms to come into existence. Since they were so successful they evolved into many and bizarre critters. But it didn't take long before there were lots of multi-cellular creatures around. And at that point the level of fitness necessary to thrive and survive went up a lot. And that resulted in most of these early different kinds of multi-cellular creatures being wiped out.
But evolution continued and things like bones and shells were developed. These enhancements were again wildly successful so many wildly different variants quickly appeared. And that quickly caused the level of fitness necessary to survive and thrive to again increase. And so may of those early designs were quickly wiped out leaving creatures that for the most part we would recognize today.
But the Cambrian explosion was not the end of it. Evolution continues to this day. Darwin took note of animal breeders. Dogs in particular now come in a wide variety of shapes, sizes, dispositions, attributes, etc. This is because of the forced evolution dogs are subjected to by people. There are entire breeds of dogs that were not in existence a few hundred years ago. Darwin laid all this out more than 150 years ago but people, for reasons that are beyond me, don't find it convincing so how about this?
Scientists can now demonstrate evolution in the test tube in the lab over time periods of a single human lifetime. There are very short lived single celled creatures that are easy to culture in the lab. Zillions of them fit in a standard "chem lab" flask where they happily live out their lives. They are born, live, breed, and die within a day. That means you can rack up a thousand generations in three years or ten thousand in thirty.
Scientists have started out with a colony consisting of a large number (remember, they are small) of genetically identical single celled creatures of this kind in a flask in a lab. They have in some cases just let them do their thing for generation after generation to see what would happen. In other cases they changed their diets, or the amount of light they were subjected to, or the acidity of the solution they were cultured in, or other environmental variables. In every case they wanted to see what would happen after a few or a few hundred or a few thousand generations.
These creatures are so simple that they can be frozen then brought back to life years later without suffering any harm. So scientists regularly split one colony into two, each in its own flask. Or they split a colony into two and freeze one half. This lets scientists do things like repeating the same experiment multiple times or doing a family of experiments where a single parameter is changed by various amounts. Later the critters can be genetically sequenced to see what has happened. This has allowed all the basic tenets of evolution to be proved out in detail and in controlled lab experiments that can be preproduced by others.
My ideas about what happened during that three billion year period are pure speculation. But the basic tenets of evolution are not.
Wednesday, June 27, 2018
Soul on Ice
1968 was an eventful year. I did a post on it (see http://sigma5.blogspot.com/2014/08/1968.html) that did not do it justice. I am going to briefly touch on one cultural event that happened in 1968 and spend a considerable amount of time on another.
The movie 2001: A space Odyssey came out in 1968. A wonderful book called Space Odyssey by Michael Benson has been released to commemorate the 50th anniversary of this event. I recommend the book to anyone who has an interest in the subject. The driving force behind the movie and the principal subject of the book is Stanley Kubrick. He was very much of the "it's my movie" and "my way or the highway" school of management. He was terrible to lots of people including Arthur C. Clark, his main collaborator. Clark was then a well established science fiction writer. Many of the other players featured in the book were less well known. But in case after case Kubrick was terrible to them.
In spite of this most of them came away loving the guy. The main contributing factors were that Kubrick was a really nice guy on a personal level. But he was also a tyrant on a professional level and this translated into him doing terrible things to the people that worked for and with him. But they all bought into his genius. And in many cases he raised people out of obscurity and gave them their first chance to show what they were capable of.
So they forgave him. In the case of the obscure people he set many of them up for future professional success and many of them went on to be very successful. Even in Clark's case he came out better off in the end. Kubrick worked him nearly to death and almost drove him into bankruptcy. But the movie was a success and Clark was made financially whole by the money he made on the sale of the companion book. And his association with the movie and the book enhanced his reputation and he went on to have a long and successful carrier. And, of course, the movie was a cultural landmark that resonates down to the present day.
But for the purposes of this post let me leave the this subject with the observation that Kubrick could not have done what he did if he was black. No studio would have given him a ton of money and then let him go off into the wilderness (the movie was made in England) for four years (an eternity in the movie business) and let him make the movie the way he thought it should be made (Kubrick exercised almost complete creative control). And that brings us to someone who is black.
Eldridge Cleaver published a series of letters and essays as Soul on Ice in 1968. It was a big deal at the time but I didn't get round to reading it then. My sister-in-law had a copy she wanted to donate to the Little Free Library (see https://littlefreelibrary.org/ for more information) in my neighborhood. I took advantage of this generosity to read the book before passing it along. It's a quick read and I'm glad I did it. But it has not aged nearly as well as 2001. So what's the big deal?
The most polite thing you can say about Cleaver is that he had a "checkered" carrier prior to the book's publication. (I deliberately did not research him before reading the book. So, unless explicitly noted, everything that follows comes straight from the book.) He ended up in prison for several years on a Marijuana beef. While in prison he engaged in an extensive program of reading (he had no substantial education prior to this - he later characterized his situation as a "higher uneducation"). He emerged from this experience radicalized. He concluded that white people were the source of all his trouble so he set out to do something about that as soon as he was released.
The "something" he chose to do was a systematic program of raping white women. Needless to say, this did not go well for anyone and he quickly landed back in prison. There he continued to read extensively. At some point his cause was taken up by a white woman lawyer named Beverly Axelrod who managed to get him out of jail. Several of the letters he wrote while in jail this second time around and several essays he wrote shortly after getting out (at least as far as I can tell) were combined to create the book. If you are thinking at this point that this is crazy then I would have to agree. So let me start with some general observations.
Cleaver's predominant emotion is rage. This comes through strongly. And, unfortunately, rage is not conducive to clear thinking and a nuanced approach. Cleaver did not do nuance. Cleaver is drawn to the extreme and often violent. Even he admitted it saying "I am extremist by nature". We see this play out in his "rape white women" plan. How could this possibly work out well? By his own way of thinking blacks were powerless and whites were powerful. It is literally incredible to believe that whites would not retaliate. All things considered, they were actually temperate in their retaliation.
And consider this: "Many young blacks out there right now who are slitting white throats and raping the white girl". Did he actually believe this? If it had been true then blacks would have been playing right into the worst stereotypes about them. In reality were NOT slitting white throats, although they were often wrongly accused of doing so. Nor were they (with the exception of Cleaver himself) raping white women. Again, had they been doing so whites would have easily been able to establish this as a pattern of behavior and used that pattern to justify the oppression of blacks. But there was no well documented pattern of this kind of behavior by blacks. And this leads me to a general characterization of Cleaver.
He was a classic intellectual. He was incredibly smart. He was well versed in the intellectual literature of the subjects that interested him. And he was completely impractical. He had dozens of crackpot ideas. But in pretty much every case there was a kernel of truth or an interesting aspect to it. But his ideas were wildly impractical or lacked grounding in the real world. Here's another example "to me the language and symbols of religion were nothing but weapons of war". It is a massive oversimplification but contains a kernel of truth. Religion is often part of the machinery used to justify wars and oppression. But he never attempts to add nuance and context to these kinds of statements. As a result he had no lasting impact.
And that characterized his entire life. He was a gadfly. He had things to say. He was an excellent writer. He was clear, dynamic, and eloquent. You got a real feel for his thinking and his personality. On the other hand, he was terrible at follow through. I will go into where he ended up later but it was apparent from the book, which marked the start of his public life, that he was always on the move intellectually.
And his general approach seemed to be to hunt around, find a guru, fixate on that guru, eventually find fault with that guru and completely abandon him. Then he would start a new cycle by hunting around until he could find and fixate on a new guru. Several cycles of this are on display in the book. And since he was an absolutist ultimately no single guru could long withstand his fierce scrutiny before being found wanting for one reason or another. It never seemed to occur to him to synthesize the best of what several people had to offer as an alternative to being all in for whatever guru was his current favorite.
This approach made him a poor observer of his time, a poor prognosticator, and a poor tactician. Starting with the first, he had a poor understanding of the times (1968, in this case). "We live today in a system that is in the last stages of the protracted process of breaking up on a world war basis." There was no "breaking up" in the offing. "This is the last act of the show." No, it wasn't. And he predicted the "rising nonwhite giant of China". China only started rising after it threw off the shackles of Maoism, the very Maoism that was firmly in charge in China in 1968.
He demonstrates a very Marxist view of society. But Marx was profoundly wrong on the very things Cleaver's analysis depends on. Marx was right that there are classes and a class struggle. But the underclasses are not very good at figuring out that their goals are in direct conflict with the overclasses. So they don't spontaneously rise up the way Marxist analysis predicts they will.
And Marxism predicts that governments will eventually wither away because the triumph of the proletariat will render formal governance unnecessary. But successful revolutions always require leadership. In fact, the great mass of black people did not see things the way Cleaver saw them nor did they behave the way Cleaver predicted they would. This is unsurprising because no people ever behave that way.
Cleaver was off base in other ways too. The Watts riots had taken place a couple of years earlier. He saw them as a big success. They were a big setback instead. Assume for the moment that Cleaver was right and what was important is that blacks get back at whites. Then the Watts riots were a complete failure. The riots burned out businesses in Watts. This did little harm to white elites. Instead it did a lot of harm to small business people who had bet their future on doing business in the black community. Their take away was that nobody should do business in black communities.
It took many decades to undo this damage. I covered this more thoroughly in a post on Magic Johnson (see http://sigma5.blogspot.com/2014/04/magic-johnson.html). But the bottom line is that until people like Johnson, who had credibility with both the black community and with white businessmen, came along and bridged the gap, businesses were justifiably reluctant to do business in black neighborhoods. (This is a problem that is still not completely fixed.) Now, if (again according to Cleaver's thinking) the rioters had burned down neighborhoods where powerful white people lived and worked then the riot would have been a good idea.
I have highlighted just a few of the crazy ideas Cleaver puts forward. He was a good writer so it's an interesting read. But he is so wrongheaded so often that it is sad. There is a theory that you need extremists so that there is room and contrast for more sensible moderate ideas to take hold. If you subscribe to this theory then Cleaver's book performed a valuable service. He was so out there that he made even seriously wild ideas sound tame by comparison. But the damage he did also has to be figured into the equation. And he did a lot of damage.
His philosophy at the time was "it's all the white's fault so that anything can be justified". He used this justification to making raping women okay. He also used it to see all incarceration of blacks as being politically motivated and, therefore, illegitimate. And what that meant was that there was no justification ever for incarcerating a black no matter what they had done. A black prisoner literally had no "debt to society". Looking at this from the point of view of the rest of society it means that all blacks should be incarcerated forever.
He also saw fixing older white people as a lost cause. He put his faith in youth. This turned out to be misplaced but it highlights the old/young split that was widening at this time. The old paradigm was that the old are powerful and the young are powerless. The new paradigm coming into being was that although the old had more power the young also had substantial power. This was the time of birth of the "youth market" as the buying power of young people was on a steep rise.
His faith in the young ultimately turned out to be misplaced. I am the correct age to be part of the cohort he was counting on. Over time my cohort's outlook shifted to be decidedly more conservative. And conservatives were not having any of what he was peddling. So the trends he saw were peaking just as he was saying they were growing in strength and influence and would continue to grow. Things turned away from the paths Cleaver was predicting they would follow in trend after trend.
And at bottom Cleaver was making a reasoned argument for his positions. His reasoning may have been flawed but he was eager to lay out his argument on the theory that it was convincing. But we have moved on to a time when justifying your position is no longer important. All that is necessary for a position to be right is for you to believe it to be right. I can point to the flaws in Cleaver's analysis because he provides the analysis. He may reject or ignore my analysis but he would agree that is the way it is done. That is no longer true. "I believe myself to be right" is the sum and substance of many positions advanced by people who are supposed to know what they are doing. Cleaver would have been appalled.
But in a sense he was guilty of hypocrisy. He said "I had always had a strong sense of myself". I find that he actually had a poor sense of himself. He was very judgmental himself but found fault in others for being equally judgmental but coming to conclusions that differed from Cleaver's.
Fundamentally, I believe his approach to be wrong. He blamed "white people" for everything that had gone wrong in his life. The problem is that he put his emphasis on "white" rather than on "people". People in positions of power behave badly. Black people in Africa rounded up their fellow men and sold them to the white people who enslaved them and shipped them across the ocean. If all black people are good and all white people are bad why did that happen? Ultimately, you have to get white people to acquiesce in the transfer of some power to black people. To do that you must convince them it is the right thing to do and that it can be done at a reasonable cost.
Others were doing a better job of convincing white people it was the right thing to do. Cleaver was all for making the cost so high white people would never agree to pay it. I have always been a fan of the South African "truth and reconciliation" process. In this process people confess to the bad they have done but then they are let off. They are not prosecuted. I believe it is important for the truth to be brought out into the open. People need to know what was actually going on. And the "reconciliation" part is manifestly unfair. People who did horrible things are let off and people who were grievously harmed get no recompense. But it is important to focus on the long view.
The people who did the bad things (whites, for the most part) need to acknowledge that they did wrong. But being honest about what happened brings a lot of shame down on the heads of the perpetrators. That may not be a high enough cost to be fair but it can be an acceptable cost. And that makes it possible to move forward.
I note that in the US it has been more than a century since the Civil War has ended but even with all that time having passed we have still done a poor job of acknowledging what actually happened. The US has manifestly not moved on completely. This means the wound never heals and progress is halting at best. A lot of harm has been done since the end of the Civil War. That harm has to be balanced against the harm that would have resulted from letting the guilty go scot free. At some point it is cheaper all around to let them go and let it go.
Cleaver spends a lot of time worrying about his manhood. Blacks were powerless and that is very emasculating. In this context it is not surprising that he chose rape as his tool of choice for getting back at the white power structure. But he never seems to be able to let it go. He comes back to it over and over. He also injects frequent references to homosexuality into the discussion. Is he worried that he is a closet homosexual?
He also characterizes his fellow black inmates as eunuchs and comes back to the subject in many other ways. He characterizes boxing as the sport that receives "maximum expression". It is clear he would be happy describing it as a "manly art". I believe at the time football was a much bigger deal but boxing allows him to bring Mohamad Ali into the discussion so I can understand why he did it.
Boxing has since faded and simultaneously morphed into the minor sport of mixed martial arts. It is interesting that the biggest sport on a worldwide basis today (and probably back then) is soccer. While "blood lust" can be associated with boxing as Cleaver does, it can't really be associated with soccer.
His characterization of the relationship between blacks and whites screams of something we associate with the deep south. This is in spite of the fact that he lived in Southern California. And this too leads him astray. When it was "deep south versus the rest of the country" civil rights made advances. But once the worst and most obvious excesses were dealt with what was left was the more covert discrimination found in the rest of the country. And that caused white support of the civil rights movement to erode.
Cleaver completely missed that. And he also completely missed the women's movement that was to first come to broad public attention in the period shortly after '68. But then he trenchantly observes "which laws are enforced depends on who is in power". So just when you are about to give up on him he finds a way to say something insightful. His observations about the overlap between hostility to civil rights and a militarist approach to foreign policy is also very insightful. And then there's "to me the language and symbols of religion were nothing but weapons of war".
Ultimately I see him as being almost completely lacking in empathy. He seems incapable of seeing things as others see them and that limits his ability to see things clearly.
So what's the rest of the story. Well, it turns out he was a juvenile delinquent before he was old enough to go to prison. But his history of incarceration for more serious offenses is accurately presented in the book. He was busted for pot, served several years of hard time, was freed only to shortly be back I jail for the rapes. And he gives short shrift to his white female lawyer's successful efforts to get him out of jail after his second stretch. Given what she had to work with it is impressive that she succeeded. He also ended up married to a black woman lawyer for 20 years.
Shortly after the book was published he got heavily involved with the Black Panthers. This turned out badly for the Panthers. He talked them into staging an ambush on some Oakland Police. This resulted in two cops being injured and wiped out any good will the Panthers had built up among the public at large. Cleaver immediately fled to Cuba and eventually to other locales. But yet again he was let off and was able to eventually return to the US. There he became a Mormon (at that time a notoriously "white" religion) and a conservative Republican (also the polar opposite of what he espoused in Soul on Ice).
Had things been otherwise would Cleaver been able to match the achievements of someone like Kubrick? It seems unlikely. It may be that his early juvenile delinquency indicated that rage was always there and was always gong to stop him from amounting to much. But what if the rage was a result of his environment? In a different environment and lacking that rage what might his manifest intelligence and writing skill produced? The fact that he managed over and over to wiggle out of so much trouble weighs heavily in favor of the idea that he would have been able to achieve much. But we'll never know.
The movie 2001: A space Odyssey came out in 1968. A wonderful book called Space Odyssey by Michael Benson has been released to commemorate the 50th anniversary of this event. I recommend the book to anyone who has an interest in the subject. The driving force behind the movie and the principal subject of the book is Stanley Kubrick. He was very much of the "it's my movie" and "my way or the highway" school of management. He was terrible to lots of people including Arthur C. Clark, his main collaborator. Clark was then a well established science fiction writer. Many of the other players featured in the book were less well known. But in case after case Kubrick was terrible to them.
In spite of this most of them came away loving the guy. The main contributing factors were that Kubrick was a really nice guy on a personal level. But he was also a tyrant on a professional level and this translated into him doing terrible things to the people that worked for and with him. But they all bought into his genius. And in many cases he raised people out of obscurity and gave them their first chance to show what they were capable of.
So they forgave him. In the case of the obscure people he set many of them up for future professional success and many of them went on to be very successful. Even in Clark's case he came out better off in the end. Kubrick worked him nearly to death and almost drove him into bankruptcy. But the movie was a success and Clark was made financially whole by the money he made on the sale of the companion book. And his association with the movie and the book enhanced his reputation and he went on to have a long and successful carrier. And, of course, the movie was a cultural landmark that resonates down to the present day.
But for the purposes of this post let me leave the this subject with the observation that Kubrick could not have done what he did if he was black. No studio would have given him a ton of money and then let him go off into the wilderness (the movie was made in England) for four years (an eternity in the movie business) and let him make the movie the way he thought it should be made (Kubrick exercised almost complete creative control). And that brings us to someone who is black.
Eldridge Cleaver published a series of letters and essays as Soul on Ice in 1968. It was a big deal at the time but I didn't get round to reading it then. My sister-in-law had a copy she wanted to donate to the Little Free Library (see https://littlefreelibrary.org/ for more information) in my neighborhood. I took advantage of this generosity to read the book before passing it along. It's a quick read and I'm glad I did it. But it has not aged nearly as well as 2001. So what's the big deal?
The most polite thing you can say about Cleaver is that he had a "checkered" carrier prior to the book's publication. (I deliberately did not research him before reading the book. So, unless explicitly noted, everything that follows comes straight from the book.) He ended up in prison for several years on a Marijuana beef. While in prison he engaged in an extensive program of reading (he had no substantial education prior to this - he later characterized his situation as a "higher uneducation"). He emerged from this experience radicalized. He concluded that white people were the source of all his trouble so he set out to do something about that as soon as he was released.
The "something" he chose to do was a systematic program of raping white women. Needless to say, this did not go well for anyone and he quickly landed back in prison. There he continued to read extensively. At some point his cause was taken up by a white woman lawyer named Beverly Axelrod who managed to get him out of jail. Several of the letters he wrote while in jail this second time around and several essays he wrote shortly after getting out (at least as far as I can tell) were combined to create the book. If you are thinking at this point that this is crazy then I would have to agree. So let me start with some general observations.
Cleaver's predominant emotion is rage. This comes through strongly. And, unfortunately, rage is not conducive to clear thinking and a nuanced approach. Cleaver did not do nuance. Cleaver is drawn to the extreme and often violent. Even he admitted it saying "I am extremist by nature". We see this play out in his "rape white women" plan. How could this possibly work out well? By his own way of thinking blacks were powerless and whites were powerful. It is literally incredible to believe that whites would not retaliate. All things considered, they were actually temperate in their retaliation.
And consider this: "Many young blacks out there right now who are slitting white throats and raping the white girl". Did he actually believe this? If it had been true then blacks would have been playing right into the worst stereotypes about them. In reality were NOT slitting white throats, although they were often wrongly accused of doing so. Nor were they (with the exception of Cleaver himself) raping white women. Again, had they been doing so whites would have easily been able to establish this as a pattern of behavior and used that pattern to justify the oppression of blacks. But there was no well documented pattern of this kind of behavior by blacks. And this leads me to a general characterization of Cleaver.
He was a classic intellectual. He was incredibly smart. He was well versed in the intellectual literature of the subjects that interested him. And he was completely impractical. He had dozens of crackpot ideas. But in pretty much every case there was a kernel of truth or an interesting aspect to it. But his ideas were wildly impractical or lacked grounding in the real world. Here's another example "to me the language and symbols of religion were nothing but weapons of war". It is a massive oversimplification but contains a kernel of truth. Religion is often part of the machinery used to justify wars and oppression. But he never attempts to add nuance and context to these kinds of statements. As a result he had no lasting impact.
And that characterized his entire life. He was a gadfly. He had things to say. He was an excellent writer. He was clear, dynamic, and eloquent. You got a real feel for his thinking and his personality. On the other hand, he was terrible at follow through. I will go into where he ended up later but it was apparent from the book, which marked the start of his public life, that he was always on the move intellectually.
And his general approach seemed to be to hunt around, find a guru, fixate on that guru, eventually find fault with that guru and completely abandon him. Then he would start a new cycle by hunting around until he could find and fixate on a new guru. Several cycles of this are on display in the book. And since he was an absolutist ultimately no single guru could long withstand his fierce scrutiny before being found wanting for one reason or another. It never seemed to occur to him to synthesize the best of what several people had to offer as an alternative to being all in for whatever guru was his current favorite.
This approach made him a poor observer of his time, a poor prognosticator, and a poor tactician. Starting with the first, he had a poor understanding of the times (1968, in this case). "We live today in a system that is in the last stages of the protracted process of breaking up on a world war basis." There was no "breaking up" in the offing. "This is the last act of the show." No, it wasn't. And he predicted the "rising nonwhite giant of China". China only started rising after it threw off the shackles of Maoism, the very Maoism that was firmly in charge in China in 1968.
He demonstrates a very Marxist view of society. But Marx was profoundly wrong on the very things Cleaver's analysis depends on. Marx was right that there are classes and a class struggle. But the underclasses are not very good at figuring out that their goals are in direct conflict with the overclasses. So they don't spontaneously rise up the way Marxist analysis predicts they will.
And Marxism predicts that governments will eventually wither away because the triumph of the proletariat will render formal governance unnecessary. But successful revolutions always require leadership. In fact, the great mass of black people did not see things the way Cleaver saw them nor did they behave the way Cleaver predicted they would. This is unsurprising because no people ever behave that way.
Cleaver was off base in other ways too. The Watts riots had taken place a couple of years earlier. He saw them as a big success. They were a big setback instead. Assume for the moment that Cleaver was right and what was important is that blacks get back at whites. Then the Watts riots were a complete failure. The riots burned out businesses in Watts. This did little harm to white elites. Instead it did a lot of harm to small business people who had bet their future on doing business in the black community. Their take away was that nobody should do business in black communities.
It took many decades to undo this damage. I covered this more thoroughly in a post on Magic Johnson (see http://sigma5.blogspot.com/2014/04/magic-johnson.html). But the bottom line is that until people like Johnson, who had credibility with both the black community and with white businessmen, came along and bridged the gap, businesses were justifiably reluctant to do business in black neighborhoods. (This is a problem that is still not completely fixed.) Now, if (again according to Cleaver's thinking) the rioters had burned down neighborhoods where powerful white people lived and worked then the riot would have been a good idea.
I have highlighted just a few of the crazy ideas Cleaver puts forward. He was a good writer so it's an interesting read. But he is so wrongheaded so often that it is sad. There is a theory that you need extremists so that there is room and contrast for more sensible moderate ideas to take hold. If you subscribe to this theory then Cleaver's book performed a valuable service. He was so out there that he made even seriously wild ideas sound tame by comparison. But the damage he did also has to be figured into the equation. And he did a lot of damage.
His philosophy at the time was "it's all the white's fault so that anything can be justified". He used this justification to making raping women okay. He also used it to see all incarceration of blacks as being politically motivated and, therefore, illegitimate. And what that meant was that there was no justification ever for incarcerating a black no matter what they had done. A black prisoner literally had no "debt to society". Looking at this from the point of view of the rest of society it means that all blacks should be incarcerated forever.
He also saw fixing older white people as a lost cause. He put his faith in youth. This turned out to be misplaced but it highlights the old/young split that was widening at this time. The old paradigm was that the old are powerful and the young are powerless. The new paradigm coming into being was that although the old had more power the young also had substantial power. This was the time of birth of the "youth market" as the buying power of young people was on a steep rise.
His faith in the young ultimately turned out to be misplaced. I am the correct age to be part of the cohort he was counting on. Over time my cohort's outlook shifted to be decidedly more conservative. And conservatives were not having any of what he was peddling. So the trends he saw were peaking just as he was saying they were growing in strength and influence and would continue to grow. Things turned away from the paths Cleaver was predicting they would follow in trend after trend.
And at bottom Cleaver was making a reasoned argument for his positions. His reasoning may have been flawed but he was eager to lay out his argument on the theory that it was convincing. But we have moved on to a time when justifying your position is no longer important. All that is necessary for a position to be right is for you to believe it to be right. I can point to the flaws in Cleaver's analysis because he provides the analysis. He may reject or ignore my analysis but he would agree that is the way it is done. That is no longer true. "I believe myself to be right" is the sum and substance of many positions advanced by people who are supposed to know what they are doing. Cleaver would have been appalled.
But in a sense he was guilty of hypocrisy. He said "I had always had a strong sense of myself". I find that he actually had a poor sense of himself. He was very judgmental himself but found fault in others for being equally judgmental but coming to conclusions that differed from Cleaver's.
Fundamentally, I believe his approach to be wrong. He blamed "white people" for everything that had gone wrong in his life. The problem is that he put his emphasis on "white" rather than on "people". People in positions of power behave badly. Black people in Africa rounded up their fellow men and sold them to the white people who enslaved them and shipped them across the ocean. If all black people are good and all white people are bad why did that happen? Ultimately, you have to get white people to acquiesce in the transfer of some power to black people. To do that you must convince them it is the right thing to do and that it can be done at a reasonable cost.
Others were doing a better job of convincing white people it was the right thing to do. Cleaver was all for making the cost so high white people would never agree to pay it. I have always been a fan of the South African "truth and reconciliation" process. In this process people confess to the bad they have done but then they are let off. They are not prosecuted. I believe it is important for the truth to be brought out into the open. People need to know what was actually going on. And the "reconciliation" part is manifestly unfair. People who did horrible things are let off and people who were grievously harmed get no recompense. But it is important to focus on the long view.
The people who did the bad things (whites, for the most part) need to acknowledge that they did wrong. But being honest about what happened brings a lot of shame down on the heads of the perpetrators. That may not be a high enough cost to be fair but it can be an acceptable cost. And that makes it possible to move forward.
I note that in the US it has been more than a century since the Civil War has ended but even with all that time having passed we have still done a poor job of acknowledging what actually happened. The US has manifestly not moved on completely. This means the wound never heals and progress is halting at best. A lot of harm has been done since the end of the Civil War. That harm has to be balanced against the harm that would have resulted from letting the guilty go scot free. At some point it is cheaper all around to let them go and let it go.
Cleaver spends a lot of time worrying about his manhood. Blacks were powerless and that is very emasculating. In this context it is not surprising that he chose rape as his tool of choice for getting back at the white power structure. But he never seems to be able to let it go. He comes back to it over and over. He also injects frequent references to homosexuality into the discussion. Is he worried that he is a closet homosexual?
He also characterizes his fellow black inmates as eunuchs and comes back to the subject in many other ways. He characterizes boxing as the sport that receives "maximum expression". It is clear he would be happy describing it as a "manly art". I believe at the time football was a much bigger deal but boxing allows him to bring Mohamad Ali into the discussion so I can understand why he did it.
Boxing has since faded and simultaneously morphed into the minor sport of mixed martial arts. It is interesting that the biggest sport on a worldwide basis today (and probably back then) is soccer. While "blood lust" can be associated with boxing as Cleaver does, it can't really be associated with soccer.
His characterization of the relationship between blacks and whites screams of something we associate with the deep south. This is in spite of the fact that he lived in Southern California. And this too leads him astray. When it was "deep south versus the rest of the country" civil rights made advances. But once the worst and most obvious excesses were dealt with what was left was the more covert discrimination found in the rest of the country. And that caused white support of the civil rights movement to erode.
Cleaver completely missed that. And he also completely missed the women's movement that was to first come to broad public attention in the period shortly after '68. But then he trenchantly observes "which laws are enforced depends on who is in power". So just when you are about to give up on him he finds a way to say something insightful. His observations about the overlap between hostility to civil rights and a militarist approach to foreign policy is also very insightful. And then there's "to me the language and symbols of religion were nothing but weapons of war".
Ultimately I see him as being almost completely lacking in empathy. He seems incapable of seeing things as others see them and that limits his ability to see things clearly.
So what's the rest of the story. Well, it turns out he was a juvenile delinquent before he was old enough to go to prison. But his history of incarceration for more serious offenses is accurately presented in the book. He was busted for pot, served several years of hard time, was freed only to shortly be back I jail for the rapes. And he gives short shrift to his white female lawyer's successful efforts to get him out of jail after his second stretch. Given what she had to work with it is impressive that she succeeded. He also ended up married to a black woman lawyer for 20 years.
Shortly after the book was published he got heavily involved with the Black Panthers. This turned out badly for the Panthers. He talked them into staging an ambush on some Oakland Police. This resulted in two cops being injured and wiped out any good will the Panthers had built up among the public at large. Cleaver immediately fled to Cuba and eventually to other locales. But yet again he was let off and was able to eventually return to the US. There he became a Mormon (at that time a notoriously "white" religion) and a conservative Republican (also the polar opposite of what he espoused in Soul on Ice).
Had things been otherwise would Cleaver been able to match the achievements of someone like Kubrick? It seems unlikely. It may be that his early juvenile delinquency indicated that rage was always there and was always gong to stop him from amounting to much. But what if the rage was a result of his environment? In a different environment and lacking that rage what might his manifest intelligence and writing skill produced? The fact that he managed over and over to wiggle out of so much trouble weighs heavily in favor of the idea that he would have been able to achieve much. But we'll never know.
Monday, June 18, 2018
The liberal media isn't
Conservatives always characterize the mainstream media as "the liberal media". Are they? The phrase "liberal media" can be taken two ways. As I explained in a recent post (see http://sigma5.blogspot.com/2018/04/liberal-democracy.html) our form of government is called "liberal democracy". One of the foundational principles of a liberal democracy is a "free and unfettered press". This resulted in the inclusion of the "prohibiting . . . abridging the freedom of . . . the press" language in the First Amendment to the US Constitution. So technically all press in the US is "liberal". But that's not what the conservative characterization is getting at.
The charge they are implicitly (and often explicitly) making is that the mainstream media has a bias in favor of liberals in general and Democrats in particular. Certainly the right-wing media has a strong and consistent conservative/Republican bias. It is common to impute your own behavior to your opponents. But is it true? Is the mainstream media biased in favor of liberals/Democrats in the same way the right-wing media is biased in favor of conservatives/Republicans? Well, let me take a digression. (Regular readers of my posts should be expecting this from me by now.)
Back in the day there was a show called "Dragnet". It started out on the Radio (this was obviously many decades ago) and migrated to TV. Combining its radio run with its TV run, the show was a popular staple for several decades. And it had a format that was bizarre for the time and would be even more bizarre now.
The show was created by Jack Web who also starred as its lead character, Joe Friday. Friday was a cop with the Los Angeles Police Department who investigated crime in the city. Each show would dramatize a case supposedly drawn directly from the files of the LAPD. And we were told every week that "only the names have been changed to protect the innocent". Otherwise, the show was supposedly an accurate representation of what had happened in the actual case.
Cop shows, then and now, are usually filled with colorful characters and dramatic goings on - car chases, shootouts, and other forms of "action". Web took the opposite tack. Everything was calm and low key and little or no "action" was on offer. His delivery and that of everybody else - other cops, witnesses, crooks, etc. - was completely deadpan. This approach was a key to the show's long lived success. It stood out by having a completely different feel from all other "cops and robbers" shows. No one has been able to successfully imitate Web's style so the show remains unique.
Dragnet demonstrated the best in police work. The cops were fair and unbiased. It was always "just the facts mam". Friday and his sidekick (he had several different ones over the years) took no shortcuts. They were uniformly polite to everyone. They carefully collected evidence (always following all the proper procedures), never browbeat anyone, or framed anyone, or were involved in sloppy or erroneous or biased lab work, etc. And, of course, they always apprehended the right person. Over the closing credits we were told what he (or very rarely she) had been convicted of and how long a sentence he received.
It would have been nice if the LAPD had actually operated in the manner portrayed on Dragnet. It didn't. Instead it was notorious throughout the entire long period of Dragnet's run for bad behavior. Egregious examples of the opposite of every proper behavior I listed above surfaced during the run of the show. Many other examples surfaced later. Web ignored all that. The resulting show was great positive PR for the LAPD and the LAPD has always valued good PR very highly. Needless to say, Web got tremendous and continuing support from the LAPD brass.
Now let's translate this "Dragnet" model to the press. There is a "proper behavior" we expect of the press. It can be summarized by the slogan Fox News used for many years, "fair and balanced". Everyone should be treated fairly. And coverage should be balanced so that everyone's position gets a decent chance to be heard. But in my opinion there are areas in which the press should be unfair and unbalanced. They should be strongly biased in favor of truth and against falsehood. They should also be strongly biased in favor of honesty and against dishonesty. Put that way, most people would agree with me. But if we look at actions instead of words we see quite a different picture.
And let me be perfectly clear. There are many situations where the truth is hard to discern or takes a long time to emerge. And there are many situations where the facts are not enough. After all the facts are accounted for there is legitimate room for disagreement. In these latter situations it is even more important that everyone's position gets a chance to be heard.
Let's start with the agreed on stuff. Does the mainstream media unfairly advantage liberals and disadvantage conservatives? Do liberal positions get heard and conservative ones stifled? I am going to answer that question by examining four large stories that were reported out over a period of several decades. Each individual story played out over a relatively long period of time so there was plenty of time for any initial errors to be identified and rectified. All these stories generally found liberals on one side and conservatives on the other. So each represents a clear opportunity for liberal bias to color the behavior of the mainstream press.
I am going to start with an event that took place while Dragnet was still on the air and producing new episodes. That's the "red scare" era of the late '40s and the entirety of the '50s. That's a long time ago but I need to go even further back for that story to make sense to contemporary readers.
Communism was invented by Marx and Engels in the middle of the 1800s. Business immediately saw it as a threat and has strongly opposed it from those early days right up to the present. Little support for Communism ever surfaced in the US. But that didn't stop various factions from championed it or demonized it in spite of the fact that most people paid it little attention. That change somewhat in the early part of the 1900s. I am not going to go into the very interesting details but what was then and now called Russia was taken over by Communism and the country was renamed the USSR. The US actively opposed this but obviously failed. Then World War II came along.
The US and the USSR became allied in one of those "the enemy of my enemy is my friend" things. Nazi Germany declared War on the US making it the enemy of the US. Nazi Germany was also at war with the USSR so for the duration of the War the USSR was a "friend", as in ally, of the US. And this was by any measure the right and smart thing to do. The fighting on the "Eastern Front" between Nazi Germany and the USSR was horrific and resulted in a substantial weakening of Germany. But then the War ended.
The US and USSR initially remained nominal friends but split dramatically very quickly. (Again the story is very interesting but I am going to skip it.) But during the War period many US State Department officials as part of their official duties became apologists for Russian activities and generally said nice things about them. Let me repeat. It was critically important to keep the USSR in the War and on the side of the US. State Department support for the USSR was a small price to pay for the harm to our enemy (Nazi Germany) that resulted. And for the most part the State Department officials involved were doing what they did because it was their job and in spite of personal beliefs that were completely different than those their jobs required them to publicly champion.
The USSR engaged in a lot of bad behavior before and especially during the War. Most notably they stole the designs for the Atomic Bomb. (They also stole vast quantities of industrial data, military data, etc. and did many other bad things.) This spying operation was relatively small in that it did not involve a large number of people. Nor did Russian spying on the US ever enjoy support from a large segment of the US population. There was a small Communist party in the US but its size and effectiveness was wildly exaggerated because doing so was beneficial to several powerful groups.
The most obvious of these powerful groups was the business community. They found it useful to blame "Communist agitation" for various labor activities that were solely involved in raising the standard of living of those employed by the business community. Labor unions and their supporters did this by, for example, agitating for increases in wages and benefits. The business community felt that acceding to these demands was bad for profits and would cut into the wealth and power of business leaders.
Anyhow, at the end of the War the Democratic party was very popular. The Great Depression was finally over and we had won World War II. This left Republicans scrambling to find an angle that would allow them get back in the game. Communists were generally unpopular. The USSR was generally unpopular. The USSR had done (and was continuing to do) a lot of spying. "There are a few spies that we need to root out" wasn't going to shift the balance enough to make much of a difference. So they went with "there are spies everywhere and its the Democrat's fault" instead. The "spies everywhere" part made the problem seem broadly important. And the "Democrats fault" part could result in significant amounts of support moving from Democrats to Republicans. So that's what they went with.
When Republicans first started making noise it was right and proper for the mainstream press to cover the issue. But a little digging would have revealed the facts. There were Russian spies operating in the US. Something needed to be done. But there weren't a lot of them (although a surprising number were very highly placed - another story for another time) and they certainly weren't there because of some sinister plot orchestrated by the Democrats. So the story should have shifted from "widespread spying caused by Democratic perfidy" to one that was more along the lines of "limited Russian spying plus a Republican ploy to exaggerate and distort". It never did.
There is a saying that goes "the press is free and open to anyone with enough money to buy one". The parts of the press that drove the narrative were big operations and many of them were owned by very conservative people. William Randolph Hearst was the poster boy for this sort of thing but he was not alone. These people have no interest in pushing a liberal agenda. And the Washington DC of this period was a small place where everybody knew everybody else. It was not hard to figure out what was going on. But "what was going on" never got any coverage. Why? The story then was the same as it is now. The "controversy" Republicans stirred up was good for selling newspapers.
But wait. It gets worse. The front man for all this was Wisconsin US Senator Joseph McCarthy. You will not be surprised to learn that he was a Republican. And the tiniest bit of digging would have determined that he was a publicity hound with a drinking problem. He did none of his own research. Instead he was fed a little bit of true information by J. Edgar Hoover, then head of the FBI and someone who valued PR over results. He saw helping McCarthy as being politically advantageous so he did.
McCarthy was supplementing the small amount of accurate information he was getting from Hoover and others with all kind of wild and completely untrue charges. He famously waved a piece of paper in the well of the Senate (where he was shielded from liable and slander laws) that supposedly contained the names of hundreds of spies and traitors in the State Department. There was no such list. But people were accused who had only been doing their jobs anyway. And other people were accused almost completely at random. Thousands of people's lives were ruined by having baseless charges levied against them.
Where was the "liberal press" in all of this? Missing in action for the most part. There were a few exceptions. Edward R. Murrow, who worked for CBS at the time, was the most notable of these exceptions. There is a great movie called "Good Night and Good Luck" that covers some of the actions Murrow took to expose McCarthy for what he was. But he had to buck CBS management and proceed very carefully to do anything at all. And he was almost completely alone.
In spite of the efforts of Morrow and a few others McCarthy continued on and continued to receive generally favorable coverage from a large majority of the press. What did him in was a struggling TV network. ABC was new at the time and had a weak to non-existent daytime schedule. McCarthy held a series of hearings, supposedly to expose perfidy in the Army. He decided to allow TV cameras into the hearing room. ABC decided it didn't have anything to lose so it broadcast the hearings gavel to gavel.
The public finally saw McCarthy without the protective cover the press had been providing. And they were appalled by what they saw. McCarthy lost support, was discredited, and eventually took the whole "red scare" business down with him. But notice that the "liberal organs of the press" had little to do with his demise. Unfortunately, this will set the pattern.
The next story I want to talk about is the original "gate", Watergate. There are commonalities and differences. Richard M. Nixon is a fascinating person. And again I am going to skip vast amounts of fascinating detail and start with the fact that he won the Presidency in 1968 in a close election. He had acquired the nickname "tricky dick" along the way and there were large groups that strongly opposed him. He was aware of this and figured he was in for a close race when he ran for re-election in '72. It turns out he was wrong. He won easily and never was in serious jeopardy of losing. But he worried anyhow. And as a result he raised vast (for the time) amounts of money to fund the Committee to Reelect the President (CRP to friends, CREEP to others).
As the race finally took shape it because apparent he would win easily so it became a problem trying to find things to spend his vast war chest on. He had always gotten poor press and was fixated on leaks coming from inside the White House. So he diverted some war chest money into a "plumbers" unit. They were supposed to find and fix leaks. Someone got the not so bright idea of breaking into the Democratic National Committee offices in the Watergate Building. (That's where the scandal acquired its name.) Anyhow, they broke in multiple times and found not much useful. But that didn't stop them from getting caught. And this "second rate burglary" kicked off the whole "Watergate" saga.
The Nixon team immediately want into "damage control" mode. (The "second rate burglary" quote featured prominently in their approach.) They also went into "coverup" mode. And the coverup almost worked. With lots of money all the arrestees were bought off. An attempt was made to make the whole thing go away quietly but Judge "Hanging John" Sirica would have none of it. The eventual trial opened some cracks. An effort to use the CIA to make things go away also failed. But the story still could have petered out at this point.
We now all know about Woodward and Bernstein but that was not the case at the time. Few if any investigative resources were deployed by the press in the early stages. Woodward and Bernstein were "no name" second stringers who essentially had nothing better to do at the time. They were dogged and eventually connected with "Deep Throat", later identified as a senior FBI official. With little additional help from the rest of the press corps they eventually uncovered enough information to cause the "Watergate Committee" to be formed in congress.
Initially it looked like even this would not break things loose. But John Dean, a senior White House official, decide to break with the White House and spill the beans. That still might not have been enough but then a White House official disclosed that Nixon had routinely taped most of what went on in the Oval Office. Lots of twists and turns later, including a trip to the Supreme Court (it ruled that Nixon had to turn all the tapes over), resulted in Nixon being forced to resign.
But it is important to remember that the press was mostly MIA until the Watergate Hearings had been under way for some time and had turned up some serious dirt. As the "liberal press" and, therefore, chomping at the bit to oppose someone as unpopular as Nixon, you would have expected them to be all over this from the very beginning. But they weren't. The press didn't like Nixon but they were also fearful of his operation. One of the Watergate revelations was the existence of an "enemies list" (that's what the Nixon people called it). The Nixon people were very good at punishing people who they thought were being too hard on him and his administration.
So in the case of the red scare the press was onboard because they were somewhat sympathetic to the players involved and saw the whole story as being good for business. In Watergate there was no love lost between the Nixon Administration but the press but, more importantly, the owners of the press were afraid of Nixon. They stayed away until it was blindingly obvious that Nixon was in serious trouble. Then they piled on. Now let me move on to the other two stories. Call them "Clinton 1" and "Clinton 2".
I have already covered both of them in my "Uranium One" post (see http://sigma5.blogspot.com/2017/12/uranium-one.html). In that post I run through the scandals of the Bill Clinton years (Clinton 1) so here let me focus on the behavior of the press during the roughly nine year period all this played out. Things got off on the wrong foot right from the start because of an expectation of the press. They thought they had set the rules of engagement during the Gary Hart scandal. A ladies man was supposed to deny all then get caught then get disgraced then the press gets to pat itself on the back.
Bill Clinton didn't follow the play book. Instead he admitted without actually admitting that he fooled around. That meant the whole "discovery followed by disgrace followed by the press doing high fives" playbook went out the window. And that made the press unhappy. And that meant the press was consistently antagonistic toward the Clinton Administration. That in turn has made both Bill and Hilary expect to be treated badly by the press. This has resulted in a self fulfilling prophecy. The Clintons do not play nice with the press. The press resents this and gives them antagonistic coverage which makes the Clintons dig in even more. Rinse and repeat forever.
The same thing played out with the 2016 election coverage (Clinton 2). The press gave fawning coverage to Bernie Sanders, who worked hard to keep in their good graces. But Bernie had never been subjected to the repeated and prolonged ire of the press that had been Hillary's lot for almost two decades by this point. Nothing Hillary could have done would have put her in their good graces so she didn't even try. Still she remained polite and civil to the press throughout. Trump didn't. A standard feature of his rallies was to accuse the press of the most outrageous behavior. But this behavior did not change the way Trump was covered.
Trump completely changed all the rules for the how the press should be handled. He has been quite successfully manipulating the press since before he published "The Art of the Deal" in '87. (See http://sigma5.blogspot.com/2016/05/the-art-of-deal.html for my complete review of the book.) Here's what he said back then about how to deal with the press:
Hillary Clinton, on the other hand, was generally ignored by the press in 2016. Bernie got more coverage than she did during the primaries. And Trump got vastly more coverage than she did during the general election. Many would argue that Trump got bad press but "bad publicity is better than no publicity at all" and Hillary got no publicity at all.
If you read the New York Times every day from front to back you will generally find that everything is in there somewhere. And based on that you can go on to argue that it is "fair and balanced". But that just proves my thesis. Both sides are represented so it is not biased in favor of liberals. And unfortunately, the "liberal bias" argument goes downhill from there.
What does "everyone gets treated fairly" mean in practice? One alternative way to say that is "everyone gets treated the same". Here things fall down. Because there is a consistent pattern of the press treating different groups of people differently. This can often be justified. Different behavior, for instance, justifies different treatment. In one example much was made of the fact that Hillary used a non-government email server. So that's apparently the standard. Government email server is good and private server is bad. Yet it was recently revealed that James Comey used a private email account for government business without authorization. Trump routinely used private email accounts during the transition period between the election and the inauguration even though that is prohibited. But somehow the Clinton example is a big deal and the others are not.
Well, maybe there were problems with Clinton's email server that didn't show up in the other cases. Yet Clinton's email server was "government approved" and implemented legally mandated archiving policies. And, in spite of what you have repeatedly heard from the conservative press and elsewhere, the Clinton email server was never hacked successfully. The State Department email server that Clinton was faulted for not using has been successfully hacked. And Trump is not following government mandated archiving rules. (It is too soon to say whether Comey is.) So the standards are different. And the differences disadvantage liberals and advantage conservatives (both Trump and Comey are Republicans.)
The "liberal media" also falls far short when it comes to the biases I recommend. All politicians shade the truth. But they are supposed to be embarrassed and publicly remorseful when they are caught out in an outright untruth. Clinton is rarely caught out in outright untruths (except in the conservative press where the facts rarely support the charges). And she falls well within the bounds of normal behavior for politicians when she is legitimately caught out.
On the other hand, Trump's strategy is to "take the offensive and concede nothing to my critics". He has been using this strategy since back in the day when he was dealing with the "liberal media" in New York City. They haven't changed their behavior so it still works. And again the behavior of the "liberal" media disadvantages liberals and advantages conservatives.
Conservatives long since figured out that "working the ref" works when it comes to the media. I keep waiting for the media to catch on to the fact that they are being played but even 500 days into the Trump Administration they still seem oblivious. Another saying has it that "the definition of Insanity is 'doing the same thing over and over and expecting the result to change'". The correct adjective to characterize the mainstream media with isn't "liberal". It's "insane".
The charge they are implicitly (and often explicitly) making is that the mainstream media has a bias in favor of liberals in general and Democrats in particular. Certainly the right-wing media has a strong and consistent conservative/Republican bias. It is common to impute your own behavior to your opponents. But is it true? Is the mainstream media biased in favor of liberals/Democrats in the same way the right-wing media is biased in favor of conservatives/Republicans? Well, let me take a digression. (Regular readers of my posts should be expecting this from me by now.)
Back in the day there was a show called "Dragnet". It started out on the Radio (this was obviously many decades ago) and migrated to TV. Combining its radio run with its TV run, the show was a popular staple for several decades. And it had a format that was bizarre for the time and would be even more bizarre now.
The show was created by Jack Web who also starred as its lead character, Joe Friday. Friday was a cop with the Los Angeles Police Department who investigated crime in the city. Each show would dramatize a case supposedly drawn directly from the files of the LAPD. And we were told every week that "only the names have been changed to protect the innocent". Otherwise, the show was supposedly an accurate representation of what had happened in the actual case.
Cop shows, then and now, are usually filled with colorful characters and dramatic goings on - car chases, shootouts, and other forms of "action". Web took the opposite tack. Everything was calm and low key and little or no "action" was on offer. His delivery and that of everybody else - other cops, witnesses, crooks, etc. - was completely deadpan. This approach was a key to the show's long lived success. It stood out by having a completely different feel from all other "cops and robbers" shows. No one has been able to successfully imitate Web's style so the show remains unique.
Dragnet demonstrated the best in police work. The cops were fair and unbiased. It was always "just the facts mam". Friday and his sidekick (he had several different ones over the years) took no shortcuts. They were uniformly polite to everyone. They carefully collected evidence (always following all the proper procedures), never browbeat anyone, or framed anyone, or were involved in sloppy or erroneous or biased lab work, etc. And, of course, they always apprehended the right person. Over the closing credits we were told what he (or very rarely she) had been convicted of and how long a sentence he received.
It would have been nice if the LAPD had actually operated in the manner portrayed on Dragnet. It didn't. Instead it was notorious throughout the entire long period of Dragnet's run for bad behavior. Egregious examples of the opposite of every proper behavior I listed above surfaced during the run of the show. Many other examples surfaced later. Web ignored all that. The resulting show was great positive PR for the LAPD and the LAPD has always valued good PR very highly. Needless to say, Web got tremendous and continuing support from the LAPD brass.
Now let's translate this "Dragnet" model to the press. There is a "proper behavior" we expect of the press. It can be summarized by the slogan Fox News used for many years, "fair and balanced". Everyone should be treated fairly. And coverage should be balanced so that everyone's position gets a decent chance to be heard. But in my opinion there are areas in which the press should be unfair and unbalanced. They should be strongly biased in favor of truth and against falsehood. They should also be strongly biased in favor of honesty and against dishonesty. Put that way, most people would agree with me. But if we look at actions instead of words we see quite a different picture.
And let me be perfectly clear. There are many situations where the truth is hard to discern or takes a long time to emerge. And there are many situations where the facts are not enough. After all the facts are accounted for there is legitimate room for disagreement. In these latter situations it is even more important that everyone's position gets a chance to be heard.
Let's start with the agreed on stuff. Does the mainstream media unfairly advantage liberals and disadvantage conservatives? Do liberal positions get heard and conservative ones stifled? I am going to answer that question by examining four large stories that were reported out over a period of several decades. Each individual story played out over a relatively long period of time so there was plenty of time for any initial errors to be identified and rectified. All these stories generally found liberals on one side and conservatives on the other. So each represents a clear opportunity for liberal bias to color the behavior of the mainstream press.
I am going to start with an event that took place while Dragnet was still on the air and producing new episodes. That's the "red scare" era of the late '40s and the entirety of the '50s. That's a long time ago but I need to go even further back for that story to make sense to contemporary readers.
Communism was invented by Marx and Engels in the middle of the 1800s. Business immediately saw it as a threat and has strongly opposed it from those early days right up to the present. Little support for Communism ever surfaced in the US. But that didn't stop various factions from championed it or demonized it in spite of the fact that most people paid it little attention. That change somewhat in the early part of the 1900s. I am not going to go into the very interesting details but what was then and now called Russia was taken over by Communism and the country was renamed the USSR. The US actively opposed this but obviously failed. Then World War II came along.
The US and the USSR became allied in one of those "the enemy of my enemy is my friend" things. Nazi Germany declared War on the US making it the enemy of the US. Nazi Germany was also at war with the USSR so for the duration of the War the USSR was a "friend", as in ally, of the US. And this was by any measure the right and smart thing to do. The fighting on the "Eastern Front" between Nazi Germany and the USSR was horrific and resulted in a substantial weakening of Germany. But then the War ended.
The US and USSR initially remained nominal friends but split dramatically very quickly. (Again the story is very interesting but I am going to skip it.) But during the War period many US State Department officials as part of their official duties became apologists for Russian activities and generally said nice things about them. Let me repeat. It was critically important to keep the USSR in the War and on the side of the US. State Department support for the USSR was a small price to pay for the harm to our enemy (Nazi Germany) that resulted. And for the most part the State Department officials involved were doing what they did because it was their job and in spite of personal beliefs that were completely different than those their jobs required them to publicly champion.
The USSR engaged in a lot of bad behavior before and especially during the War. Most notably they stole the designs for the Atomic Bomb. (They also stole vast quantities of industrial data, military data, etc. and did many other bad things.) This spying operation was relatively small in that it did not involve a large number of people. Nor did Russian spying on the US ever enjoy support from a large segment of the US population. There was a small Communist party in the US but its size and effectiveness was wildly exaggerated because doing so was beneficial to several powerful groups.
The most obvious of these powerful groups was the business community. They found it useful to blame "Communist agitation" for various labor activities that were solely involved in raising the standard of living of those employed by the business community. Labor unions and their supporters did this by, for example, agitating for increases in wages and benefits. The business community felt that acceding to these demands was bad for profits and would cut into the wealth and power of business leaders.
Anyhow, at the end of the War the Democratic party was very popular. The Great Depression was finally over and we had won World War II. This left Republicans scrambling to find an angle that would allow them get back in the game. Communists were generally unpopular. The USSR was generally unpopular. The USSR had done (and was continuing to do) a lot of spying. "There are a few spies that we need to root out" wasn't going to shift the balance enough to make much of a difference. So they went with "there are spies everywhere and its the Democrat's fault" instead. The "spies everywhere" part made the problem seem broadly important. And the "Democrats fault" part could result in significant amounts of support moving from Democrats to Republicans. So that's what they went with.
When Republicans first started making noise it was right and proper for the mainstream press to cover the issue. But a little digging would have revealed the facts. There were Russian spies operating in the US. Something needed to be done. But there weren't a lot of them (although a surprising number were very highly placed - another story for another time) and they certainly weren't there because of some sinister plot orchestrated by the Democrats. So the story should have shifted from "widespread spying caused by Democratic perfidy" to one that was more along the lines of "limited Russian spying plus a Republican ploy to exaggerate and distort". It never did.
There is a saying that goes "the press is free and open to anyone with enough money to buy one". The parts of the press that drove the narrative were big operations and many of them were owned by very conservative people. William Randolph Hearst was the poster boy for this sort of thing but he was not alone. These people have no interest in pushing a liberal agenda. And the Washington DC of this period was a small place where everybody knew everybody else. It was not hard to figure out what was going on. But "what was going on" never got any coverage. Why? The story then was the same as it is now. The "controversy" Republicans stirred up was good for selling newspapers.
But wait. It gets worse. The front man for all this was Wisconsin US Senator Joseph McCarthy. You will not be surprised to learn that he was a Republican. And the tiniest bit of digging would have determined that he was a publicity hound with a drinking problem. He did none of his own research. Instead he was fed a little bit of true information by J. Edgar Hoover, then head of the FBI and someone who valued PR over results. He saw helping McCarthy as being politically advantageous so he did.
McCarthy was supplementing the small amount of accurate information he was getting from Hoover and others with all kind of wild and completely untrue charges. He famously waved a piece of paper in the well of the Senate (where he was shielded from liable and slander laws) that supposedly contained the names of hundreds of spies and traitors in the State Department. There was no such list. But people were accused who had only been doing their jobs anyway. And other people were accused almost completely at random. Thousands of people's lives were ruined by having baseless charges levied against them.
Where was the "liberal press" in all of this? Missing in action for the most part. There were a few exceptions. Edward R. Murrow, who worked for CBS at the time, was the most notable of these exceptions. There is a great movie called "Good Night and Good Luck" that covers some of the actions Murrow took to expose McCarthy for what he was. But he had to buck CBS management and proceed very carefully to do anything at all. And he was almost completely alone.
In spite of the efforts of Morrow and a few others McCarthy continued on and continued to receive generally favorable coverage from a large majority of the press. What did him in was a struggling TV network. ABC was new at the time and had a weak to non-existent daytime schedule. McCarthy held a series of hearings, supposedly to expose perfidy in the Army. He decided to allow TV cameras into the hearing room. ABC decided it didn't have anything to lose so it broadcast the hearings gavel to gavel.
The public finally saw McCarthy without the protective cover the press had been providing. And they were appalled by what they saw. McCarthy lost support, was discredited, and eventually took the whole "red scare" business down with him. But notice that the "liberal organs of the press" had little to do with his demise. Unfortunately, this will set the pattern.
The next story I want to talk about is the original "gate", Watergate. There are commonalities and differences. Richard M. Nixon is a fascinating person. And again I am going to skip vast amounts of fascinating detail and start with the fact that he won the Presidency in 1968 in a close election. He had acquired the nickname "tricky dick" along the way and there were large groups that strongly opposed him. He was aware of this and figured he was in for a close race when he ran for re-election in '72. It turns out he was wrong. He won easily and never was in serious jeopardy of losing. But he worried anyhow. And as a result he raised vast (for the time) amounts of money to fund the Committee to Reelect the President (CRP to friends, CREEP to others).
As the race finally took shape it because apparent he would win easily so it became a problem trying to find things to spend his vast war chest on. He had always gotten poor press and was fixated on leaks coming from inside the White House. So he diverted some war chest money into a "plumbers" unit. They were supposed to find and fix leaks. Someone got the not so bright idea of breaking into the Democratic National Committee offices in the Watergate Building. (That's where the scandal acquired its name.) Anyhow, they broke in multiple times and found not much useful. But that didn't stop them from getting caught. And this "second rate burglary" kicked off the whole "Watergate" saga.
The Nixon team immediately want into "damage control" mode. (The "second rate burglary" quote featured prominently in their approach.) They also went into "coverup" mode. And the coverup almost worked. With lots of money all the arrestees were bought off. An attempt was made to make the whole thing go away quietly but Judge "Hanging John" Sirica would have none of it. The eventual trial opened some cracks. An effort to use the CIA to make things go away also failed. But the story still could have petered out at this point.
We now all know about Woodward and Bernstein but that was not the case at the time. Few if any investigative resources were deployed by the press in the early stages. Woodward and Bernstein were "no name" second stringers who essentially had nothing better to do at the time. They were dogged and eventually connected with "Deep Throat", later identified as a senior FBI official. With little additional help from the rest of the press corps they eventually uncovered enough information to cause the "Watergate Committee" to be formed in congress.
Initially it looked like even this would not break things loose. But John Dean, a senior White House official, decide to break with the White House and spill the beans. That still might not have been enough but then a White House official disclosed that Nixon had routinely taped most of what went on in the Oval Office. Lots of twists and turns later, including a trip to the Supreme Court (it ruled that Nixon had to turn all the tapes over), resulted in Nixon being forced to resign.
But it is important to remember that the press was mostly MIA until the Watergate Hearings had been under way for some time and had turned up some serious dirt. As the "liberal press" and, therefore, chomping at the bit to oppose someone as unpopular as Nixon, you would have expected them to be all over this from the very beginning. But they weren't. The press didn't like Nixon but they were also fearful of his operation. One of the Watergate revelations was the existence of an "enemies list" (that's what the Nixon people called it). The Nixon people were very good at punishing people who they thought were being too hard on him and his administration.
So in the case of the red scare the press was onboard because they were somewhat sympathetic to the players involved and saw the whole story as being good for business. In Watergate there was no love lost between the Nixon Administration but the press but, more importantly, the owners of the press were afraid of Nixon. They stayed away until it was blindingly obvious that Nixon was in serious trouble. Then they piled on. Now let me move on to the other two stories. Call them "Clinton 1" and "Clinton 2".
I have already covered both of them in my "Uranium One" post (see http://sigma5.blogspot.com/2017/12/uranium-one.html). In that post I run through the scandals of the Bill Clinton years (Clinton 1) so here let me focus on the behavior of the press during the roughly nine year period all this played out. Things got off on the wrong foot right from the start because of an expectation of the press. They thought they had set the rules of engagement during the Gary Hart scandal. A ladies man was supposed to deny all then get caught then get disgraced then the press gets to pat itself on the back.
Bill Clinton didn't follow the play book. Instead he admitted without actually admitting that he fooled around. That meant the whole "discovery followed by disgrace followed by the press doing high fives" playbook went out the window. And that made the press unhappy. And that meant the press was consistently antagonistic toward the Clinton Administration. That in turn has made both Bill and Hilary expect to be treated badly by the press. This has resulted in a self fulfilling prophecy. The Clintons do not play nice with the press. The press resents this and gives them antagonistic coverage which makes the Clintons dig in even more. Rinse and repeat forever.
The same thing played out with the 2016 election coverage (Clinton 2). The press gave fawning coverage to Bernie Sanders, who worked hard to keep in their good graces. But Bernie had never been subjected to the repeated and prolonged ire of the press that had been Hillary's lot for almost two decades by this point. Nothing Hillary could have done would have put her in their good graces so she didn't even try. Still she remained polite and civil to the press throughout. Trump didn't. A standard feature of his rallies was to accuse the press of the most outrageous behavior. But this behavior did not change the way Trump was covered.
Trump completely changed all the rules for the how the press should be handled. He has been quite successfully manipulating the press since before he published "The Art of the Deal" in '87. (See http://sigma5.blogspot.com/2016/05/the-art-of-deal.html for my complete review of the book.) Here's what he said back then about how to deal with the press:
One thing I have learned about the press is that they're always hungry for a good story, and the more sensational the better. It's in the nature of the job and I understand that. (Page 56)
I play to people's fantasies. (Page 58)
Good publicity is preferable to bad, but from a bottom line perspective, bad publicity is better than no publicity at all, Controversy, in short, sells. (page 176)
I worried about growing opposition, but publicly my posture was to take the offensive and concede nothing to my critics. (page 133)Trump has changed nothing since then because what he was doing then continues to work today. He learned to deal with the press in the New York City market. It consists of mainstream outlets (New York Times, Wall Street Journal) and tabloid outlets (New York Post, New York Daily News). Those are all newspapers but the same applies to TV (both MSNBC and Fox News are headquartered in New York City) and other press organs. He succeeded then and succeeds now by following the tenets set out above.
Hillary Clinton, on the other hand, was generally ignored by the press in 2016. Bernie got more coverage than she did during the primaries. And Trump got vastly more coverage than she did during the general election. Many would argue that Trump got bad press but "bad publicity is better than no publicity at all" and Hillary got no publicity at all.
If you read the New York Times every day from front to back you will generally find that everything is in there somewhere. And based on that you can go on to argue that it is "fair and balanced". But that just proves my thesis. Both sides are represented so it is not biased in favor of liberals. And unfortunately, the "liberal bias" argument goes downhill from there.
What does "everyone gets treated fairly" mean in practice? One alternative way to say that is "everyone gets treated the same". Here things fall down. Because there is a consistent pattern of the press treating different groups of people differently. This can often be justified. Different behavior, for instance, justifies different treatment. In one example much was made of the fact that Hillary used a non-government email server. So that's apparently the standard. Government email server is good and private server is bad. Yet it was recently revealed that James Comey used a private email account for government business without authorization. Trump routinely used private email accounts during the transition period between the election and the inauguration even though that is prohibited. But somehow the Clinton example is a big deal and the others are not.
Well, maybe there were problems with Clinton's email server that didn't show up in the other cases. Yet Clinton's email server was "government approved" and implemented legally mandated archiving policies. And, in spite of what you have repeatedly heard from the conservative press and elsewhere, the Clinton email server was never hacked successfully. The State Department email server that Clinton was faulted for not using has been successfully hacked. And Trump is not following government mandated archiving rules. (It is too soon to say whether Comey is.) So the standards are different. And the differences disadvantage liberals and advantage conservatives (both Trump and Comey are Republicans.)
The "liberal media" also falls far short when it comes to the biases I recommend. All politicians shade the truth. But they are supposed to be embarrassed and publicly remorseful when they are caught out in an outright untruth. Clinton is rarely caught out in outright untruths (except in the conservative press where the facts rarely support the charges). And she falls well within the bounds of normal behavior for politicians when she is legitimately caught out.
On the other hand, Trump's strategy is to "take the offensive and concede nothing to my critics". He has been using this strategy since back in the day when he was dealing with the "liberal media" in New York City. They haven't changed their behavior so it still works. And again the behavior of the "liberal" media disadvantages liberals and advantages conservatives.
Conservatives long since figured out that "working the ref" works when it comes to the media. I keep waiting for the media to catch on to the fact that they are being played but even 500 days into the Trump Administration they still seem oblivious. Another saying has it that "the definition of Insanity is 'doing the same thing over and over and expecting the result to change'". The correct adjective to characterize the mainstream media with isn't "liberal". It's "insane".
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